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Euro: EUR/USD bearish bias converging on support – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s FX strategy team reports EUR/USD remains under pressure, trading at a three-month low and moving toward the June low at 1.1325. The bank flags support at 1.1325 and 1.1270, with resistance at 1.1410. Widening 2-year UST/EGB spreads and upcoming US PCE and NFP data are seen pulling EUR/USD closer to these vital support levels.
US yields: Real rates climb on Fed credibility – BNY Markets
BNY Markets’ John Velis observes that US real yields across the curve have risen sharply, driven more by expectations of further policy tightening than by inflation fears. Markets see the Fed and other central banks reacting to inflation, pushing long-term yields higher while breakevens stay rangebound. Robust growth, AI-related capex and contained term premia also support higher real rates.
What drove the Australian Dollar below 0.7000 as the Reserve Bank of Australia hiked to 4.60%?
The Australian Dollar (AUD) came under immediate downside pressure following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to raise its official cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60% — marking its fourth interest rate increase in 2026.
British Pound recovers slight losses against US Dollar, JOLTS data eyed
The British Pound (GBP) claws back some of its early losses, but is still 0.14% down at around 1.3235 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
New Zealand Dollar falls toward 0.5650 despite rising RBNZ rate hike bets
NZD/USD declines to around 0.5650 at the time of writing on Tuesday, down 0.25% on the day, and remains close to its lowest level since late June.
Brazil Inflation Index/IGP-M rose from previous -0.22% to 1.57% in September
Brazil Inflation Index/IGP-M rose from previous -0.22% to 1.57% in September
Euro approaches yearly lows at 1.1324 against an unstoppable US Dollar
The Euro (EUR) keeps heading lower on Tuesday as a mix of high US Treasury yields, strong US macroeconomic data, and hopes of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes underpins speculative support for the US Dollar.
Mexican Peso: USD/MXN rally nears forecast zone – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Latam strategy notes the Mexican Peso (MXN) is heading for its worst month since August 2024, with losses nearing 5% versus the Dollar as higher US yields weigh on risk sentiment.
RBA seen on extended hold – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered Global Research discusses the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to raise the cash rate to 4.60% in a unanimous move, noting a dovish tone from Governor Bullock.
AUD/NZD: Underperformance bias with no further RBA hikes expected this year – TD Securities
TD Securities' Macro Research maintains a negative stance on the Australian Dollar relative to the New Zealand Dollar following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s September decision. With the cash rate at 4.60% and no further hikes expected this year, they see AUD underperformance persisting.
Japanese Yen steadies as intervention risks keep traders cautious
USD/JPY trades around 157.40 on Tuesday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day.
RBA delivered a risk management hike – TD Securities
TD Securities Macro Research’s Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) note argues that the September 25bps hike to 4.60% was a risk-management move rather than the start of a new tightening cycle. The team expects no further RBA hikes in 2026 and for policy to remain on hold through 2027.
Italy 5-y Bond Auction came in at 4.08%, above expectations (0%)
Italy 5-y Bond Auction came in at 4.08%, above expectations (0%)