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Australian Dollar edges lower as mixed Chinese PMIs fail to impress
AUD/USD trades around 0.7160 on Monday at the time of writing, down a modest 0.08% on the day. The Australian Dollar (AUD) struggles to find a clear direction following the release of mixed Chinese economic data, while investors also assess the latest indications on Australian inflation.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ seen hiking in September – UOB
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research, led by economist Lee Sue Ann, now expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to raise the Official Cash Rate to 2.75% at the September meeting.
Asia FX: Fed repricing pressures regional currencies – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that markets are reassessing Federal Reserve policy after Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, with higher US rate expectations lifting the Dollar and shifting focus to whether inflation remains sticky enough to warrant tightening.
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Remains below nine-day EMA near 185.50
EUR/JPY extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 185.20 during European hours on Monday. The technical analysis of a daily chart indicates that the currency cross is remaining within the ascending channel pattern, signaling a bullish bias.
Canadian Dollar : Modest downside on trade risks and yields – HSBC
HSBC strategists highlight a bearish stance on the Canadian Dollar (CAD), noting that the breakdown in US–Canada trade talks has driven USD/CAD higher but is unlikely to be a persistent drag.
Greece Retail Sales (YoY) declined to 1.9% in June from previous 6.8%
Greece Retail Sales (YoY) declined to 1.9% in June from previous 6.8%
Belgium Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) in line with expectations (0%) in 2Q
Belgium Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) in line with expectations (0%) in 2Q
Greece Unemployment Rate (MoM) declined to 7.9% in July from previous 8%
Greece Unemployment Rate (MoM) declined to 7.9% in July from previous 8%
USD/JPY Price Forecast: US Dollar keeps crawling towards the key 160.00 area
The Japanese Yen (JPY) pares some losses on Monday’s European session, as the US Dollar (USD) pulls back against its main peers, with the dust from the Jackson Hole meeting settling.
Euro: Downside risk remains in focus against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight an unexpectedly sharp EUR/USD drop to 1.1577, with the pair closing weaker at 1.1584. They see scope for further downside but doubts a quick test of 1.1550 due to oversold conditions.
Euro recovers against US Dollar, German CPI accelerates
The Euro (EUR) is up 0.15% to near 1.1600 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday. The major currency pair gains as the US Dollar corrects after a strong Friday.
Australian Dollar: RBA hike risks linger – OCBC
OCBC FX Strategist Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that stronger Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) and resilient household spending have revived expectations of another Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hike, helping AUD/USD retest resistance near 0.7180–0.7200.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ set for second hike – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to deliver another 25bp hike to 2.75%, supported by elevated inflation and strong confidence data.