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Oil: Geopolitical premium persists as Gulf conflict escalates – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the U.S.–Iran confrontation and Houthi threats in the Red Sea are sustaining a geopolitical premium in Brent and WTI. Brent has risen toward $88 per barrel, with risks that Strait of Hormuz disruptions further tighten Oil supply.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD attempts Descending Triangle breakout near $4,070
Gold price (XAU/USD) is up 1.5% to near $4,067 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The precious metal outperforms as the rally in oil prices has stalled, with investors turning confident that negotiations between the United States (US) and Iran towards peace have resumed.
162.70: Japanese Yen nears 40-year lows against the US Dollar
The Japanese Yen (JPY) keeps drifting lower on Tuesday, unfazed by the mild US Dollar’s weakness.
Japanese Yen: Energy shock and Japan policy risks – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes USD/JPY is holding just below year-to-date highs as a negative energy price shock weighs on the Japanese Yen. Rising Brent prices linked to US–Iran tensions and Houthi threats to shipping highlight global supply risks.
Oil: Escalation risks and Dollar support – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight rising geopolitical risks around Middle East supply routes, warning that a deeper conflict could push Oil back above USD100/bbl and revive volatility.
WTI Price Forecast: Struggles below $82.00 and one-month high; bullish potential intact
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – struggles to capitalize on the previous day's late rebound from the $79.50-$79.45 area and trades with a negative bias through the first half of the European session on Tuesday.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Remains sticky to 20-day EMA
The US Dollar (USD) trades marginally lower against its major currency peers in Tuesday’s European session, as the appeal of safe-haven assets has diminished due to hopes of a ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran.
Oil: Red Sea route risks and price outlook – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan notes that disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have shifted more Middle East Oil flows toward the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb, increasing vulnerability to regional conflict.
Brent: Geopolitics weigh on prices – ING
ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note Brent retreated below $90/bbl as hopes for US–Iran de-escalation offset rising supply risks. They highlight reports of a proposed 10‑day ceasefire and ongoing large divisions between the US and Iran.
US Dollar: Fed inflation framework questions – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur discusses how persistent high Oil and energy prices complicate the Federal Reserve’s stance, with markets only modestly pricing in further tightening.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD surges to near $58.20 as oil price rally hits pause
Silver price (XAG/USD) is up over 3% to near $58.20 during the early European trading session on Tuesday.
Indian Rupee gains ground as oil prices correct, Trump's decision awaited
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens higher against the US Dollar on Tuesday. The USD/INR pair corrects to near 96.34 from its two-month high of 96.76 posted on Monday, as fresh hopes of de-escalation in military aggression between the United States (US) and Iran have offered support to the Indian currency.
WTI declines toward $82.00 as traders digest US-Iran developments
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $82.00 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The WTI declines but remains near multi-week highs as traders continue to assess the developments surrounding the US-Iran conflicts.