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Euro hesitates at 1.1200 with Oil and bonds limiting upside attempts
The Euro (EUR) is trading flat at 1.1200 against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as the rebound in oil prices and the ongoing tensions in bond markets keep EUR/USD buyers in check.
Indian Rupee: Broadening price pressures challenge RBI – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu expects India’s September 2026 headline CPI inflation to jump to 5.6% year-on-year from 4.8% in August, driven by a broad-based food shock and rising energy costs. Core CPI is seen approaching 4.5%, suggesting strengthening underlying pressures.
CEE FX: Dovish stance keeps Zloty and Leu under pressure – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights pressure on the Polish Zloty and Romanian Leu. With the National Bank of Poland holding rates at 3.75%, a dovish policy message could push EUR/PLN towards 4.380–4.400.
Japanese Yen: Bullish bias within broad range against US Dollar – UOB
UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that USD/JPY briefly rose to 158.50 before reversing to 157.83, closing almost unchanged at 158.06. Short-term bias has shifted to the downside toward 157.40, though a clean break lower is uncertain. Over the next one to three weeks, they expects the pair to trade sideways in a 156.35–158.70 band, with longer-term charts still flagging downside risk.
British Pound bounces off weekly low vs fragile Yen; intervention risks cap upside
The GBP/JPY cross reverses an intraday dip to the 208.20-208.15 area on Thursday, stalling the previous day's retracement slide from a one-and-a-half-week low.
Euro: Fed and ECB policy outlooks in focus - Danske Bank
Danske Research Team highlights that September FOMC minutes reinforced expectations of another Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end, as policymakers remain concerned about upside inflation risks.
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rebounds above 177.00, oversold territory
EUR/JPY inches higher after posting modest losses in the previous day, trading around 177.10 during European hours on Thursday. Technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the currency cross is remaining within the descending channel pattern, suggesting an ongoing bearish bias.
Hungarian Forint: Policy contradiction weighs on HUF – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights that Hungary’s MNB minutes confirm a unanimous decision to halt rate cuts, yet offer no discussion of future hikes or cuts. Despite higher medium-term inflation forecasts and a lower target, the bank gives no signal of tightening.
ECB’s Moulin: Inflation is clearly 100% energy
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Emmanuel Moulin said during the European trading session on Thursday that high inflationary pressures in the Eurozone are 100% driven by energy shocks.
British Pound: Downside seen limited near 1.3140 against US Dollar - UOB
UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that GBP/USD failed to extend gains above 1.3286 and instead retreated to 1.3194, closing at 1.3213. Short-term momentum has turned mildly negative, with the pair expected to consolidate within a lower 1.3180–1.3235 intraday band.
Forex Today: Euro stabilizes as markets await comments from central bankers
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, October 8:
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Drifting closer to 18-month lows at 0.5580
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) reverses earlier gains as market sentiment sours on Thursday's early European session, and turns negative against the US Dollar (USD) in the daily chart.
Equities: Bond stress triggers global stock retreat - Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight a global equity selloff as wider European bond spreads and inflation concerns weigh on risk sentiment. European banks lead losses, while the S&P 500 retreats from record highs and the Russell 2000 underperforms.