Notícias do mercado
Fique por dentro das principais notícias, dados e análises que movem o forex e os mercados financeiros globais.
Australian Dollar eyes 0.70 as China GDP surprise powers rally
The Australian Dollar registers two days of consecutive gains versus the US Dollar, trading at 0.6980, up more than 0.50% as risk appetite improved, while the Aussie was supported by strong data on China’s GDP and Retail Sales.
China: Growth rebound supports 2026 outlook – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economist Hunter Chan notes that China’s Q3 GDP rose 1.2% q/q and 4.5% y/y, helped by robust exports and AI-related industrial demand, while household consumption stayed soft. The bank keeps its Q4 and full-year 2026 GDP growth forecasts at 4.7% and 4.6%. It also cuts its 2026 CPI forecast to 0.9% but expects higher PPI inflation.
Indonesian Rupiah: MSCI risks reinforce upside bias – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan highlights that the Dollar has softened after comments from Fed Chair Warsh reduced expectations of another rate hike, but still-high global yields keep the backdrop challenging for Asia FX.
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Falling wedge breakout puts 112.00 in play
The AUD/JPY advances late on Monday during the North American session, up 0.88%, as the cross-pair continues to trade above the resistance trendline of a ‘falling wedge,’ a bullish chart pattern that could open the door to testing higher prices.
Singapore Dollar: Range trading after strong NODX – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists note Singapore’s September NODX surged to its fastest pace since 1980, driven by broad-based gains in electronics and lumpy ship-related exports, yet they expect growth to moderate as base effects toughen and AI investment matures. USD/SGD has drifted lower but remains confined to a tight range since late September, reflecting resilient fundamentals and cautious MAS guidance.
Chinese Yuan: Strengthens against US Dollar on better China growth – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad reports that USD/CNH has broken to fresh multi‑year lows near 6.6800 after stronger‑than‑expected China Q3 GDP, which keeps growth on track for the government’s 4.5%–5.0% 2026 target. BBH stresses that structural weaknesses in consumption and investment persist, but still sees the USD/CNH downtrend intact, supported by CNH internationalization and internal rebalancing.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Trendline breakout puts 213.00 in sight
GBP/JPY advances about 0.16% at the time of writing on Monday and extends its rally for the third straight day, with the cross pair trading at 210.93 as it approaches the September 18 high of 211.28, the next key resistance ahead of the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Indonesian Rupiah: MSCI shock keeps Rupiah pressured – OCBC
OCBC remains cautiously negative on the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) after MSCI proposed reclassifying Indonesia from emerging market to standalone status, triggering sharp equity outflows and USD/IDR gains. The bank expects Bank Indonesia’s (BI) intervention to cap volatility but sees a sustained recovery needing clearer reforms and better external conditions, with 18,190 flagged as key resistance and Fibonacci supports below.
Argentina Trade Balance (MoM) climbed from previous $2187M to $2976M in September
Argentina Trade Balance (MoM) climbed from previous $2187M to $2976M in September
Singapore Dollar: Upside bias capped by 1.2780 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD slipped on Friday but downside momentum remains only tentative. In the very near term, the pair is expected to stay confined between nearby support at 1.2780 and resistance at 1.2815. Over the coming 1–3 weeks, UOB sees scope for modest further Dollar weakness, though a clear break below 1.2765 is viewed as unlikely.
Mexican Peso finds relief in Fed pause bets, but carry risks linger
The Mexican Peso (MXN) appreciates against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday amid speculation that the interest rate differential between Mexico and the US will remain unchanged, with the Federal Reserve (Fed) projected to hold rates steady at the October meeting.
Chinese Yuan: Export dependence limits upside against US Dollar - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes China’s reported 4.5% year-on-year Q3 growth, despite weak investment and flat real retail sales. He argues Beijing appears broadly satisfied and unlikely to deliver major new stimulus.
British Pound: Weekly reversal targets range highs against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note GBP/USD is little changed as markets await UK labour data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) and next week’s budget, where investors expect Chancellor Healey to maintain fiscal discipline. Technically, the British Pound (GBP) has staged a strong bullish weekly reversal from the lower end of its sideways range, with scope to retest 1.3650/75 and initial resistance at the 200-day moving average near 1.3435.