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Canada Unemployment Rate meets forecasts (6.5%) in September
Canada Unemployment Rate meets forecasts (6.5%) in September
British Pound gains ground as Japanese Yen underperforms
GBP/JPY trades with a mild positive bias on Friday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) underperforms across the board. A pause in the global bond sell-off has pushed government bond yields lower, with Japanese yields falling more sharply than their UK counterparts.
Japanese Yen: Choppy trade inside defined range – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/JPY has been volatile around 157.86, with swings between 157.51 and 158.36 failing to establish a clear trend. For the coming sessions, the pair is expected to trade within 157.50–158.50 intraday, while the 1–3 week view favours consolidation in a narrower 157.00–158.70 band against a backdrop of longer-term downside momentum.
Oil: Iran tensions keep crude prices elevated - Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Economist Maartje Wijffelaars notes Oil prices climbed to around $105 per barrel as Iran struck tankers, before Brent eased after US comments on talks with Iran. Despite the pullback, Oil and diesel remain elevated, with Gasoil sharply higher since Tuesday.
Brazil IPCA Inflation above forecasts (0.73%) in September: Actual (0.82%)
Brazil IPCA Inflation above forecasts (0.73%) in September: Actual (0.82%)
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Rallies fail above 1.1200 amid high Oil prices, debt woes
The Euro (EUR) is failing to capitalise on the moderate US Dollar (USD) weakness witnessed on Friday as the high Oil prices and the ongoing concerns about France’s public debt offset investors’ optimism about lower global yields.
Japanese Yen underperforms against its peers into the weekend
The Japanese Yen (JPY) trades lower against its major currency peers on Friday. In the European trade, the USD/JPY pair is up 0.3% to near 158.25.
Canadian Dollar: Labor data may trigger dovish repricing – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman highlights that USD/CAD is consolidating just above 1.4200 after touching fresh cyclical highs near 1.4300. Canada’s September labor force survey is the key release, with modest job gains and a higher unemployment rate expected.
Euro: Elusive recovery prospects against US Dollar – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING observes that EUR/USD has moved back above 1.120 on Dollar softness, but the Euro still struggles against other European currencies as markets keep pricing a French fiscal premium. He argues that French political and bond-market risks may persist, and ING still sees scope for EUR/USD to test the 1.110/1.112 area in the near term.
India FX Reserves, USD fell from previous $747.56B to $734.61B in September 28
India FX Reserves, USD fell from previous $747.56B to $734.61B in September 28
India Bank Loan Growth: 19.4% (September 14) vs 18.1%
India Bank Loan Growth: 19.4% (September 14) vs 18.1%
Mexican Peso: Banxico cautious on cuts as Peso risks linger – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke notes Banxico’s September minutes signal a board leaning toward further easing, though the policy rate stayed at 6.5%. He argues it is too early to see a clear November cut, given US elections, geopolitical risks and energy prices.
US Dollar: Upside risks persist with strong demand – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that a modest pullback in energy prices has eased the global bond sell-off and slowed the recent Dollar rally. However, he stresses that US growth outperformance and strong foreign appetite for US securities keep USD risks skewed to the upside.