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Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) above expectations (2%) in August: Actual (3.3%)
Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) above expectations (2%) in August: Actual (3.3%)
Japanese Yen: Trades in a narrow range against US Dollar – UOB
UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/JPY slipped modestly as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened, with intraday price action confined to a narrow band. They see the pair locked in a short-term range between nearby support and resistance, while the 1–3 month view warns that rapid downward momentum could drive further weakness, though reaching the January low remains uncertain.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Testing resistance at 1.3400 as bullish pressure grows
The British Pound (GBP) extends gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday after some hesitation in the early European session, as the positive impact from the hot consumer inflation figures was offset by the increment in public borrowing.
United States Dollar Index faces mild pressure ahead of Meta Q3 earnings
The US Dollar trades with caution against its peers ahead of Meta Q3 earnings later in the day. In the European trade on Wednesday, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades mildly lower to near 101.68.
Canadian Dollar: Range-bound outlook against US Dollar with growth gap – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes discusses USD/CAD in light of revised IMF growth forecasts, highlighting weaker prospects for Canada versus the US. He notes the widening North American growth gap and the role of two-year rate differentials in guiding the Canadian Dollar. Historical ranges suggest USD/CAD is likely to stay broadly confined, with significant downside needing improved Canadian fundamentals.
US Dollar: Softer momentum persists with oil risks – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the US Dollar (USD) is trading with a soft undertone as AI-related concerns and stretched positioning unwind. Short-term valuation metrics show most G10 currencies within 1.5 standard deviations versus the Dollar.
British Pound: BoE hike prospects underpin resilience – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG expects the BoE to start its hiking cycle in November, with stronger UK activity and employment data and firmer inflation supporting this view. Headline CPI rose to 3.5% in September, and MUFG anticipates inflation above 4.0% next year after the energy price cap reset. These developments are seen as favourable for further Pound strength near term.
South Africa Retail Sales (YoY) came in at 3.3%, above forecasts (3%) in August
South Africa Retail Sales (YoY) came in at 3.3%, above forecasts (3%) in August
United States MBA Mortgage Applications declined to -5.3% in October 16 from previous -2.7%
United States MBA Mortgage Applications declined to -5.3% in October 16 from previous -2.7%
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hits lows near $4,110 as yields, Oil pick up
Gold (XAU/USD) extends losses for the fourth consecutive day on Wednesday as a moderate pick up on US Treasury yields and higher Oil prices support a mild US Dollar (USD) recovery from Tuesday’s lows.
France’s 10-year bond yield climbs above 5% stirring fears of a credit crisis
France’s ballooning debt, coupled with social unrest getting out of control, is posing a perfect storm in the bond market, and boosting the yield of the 10-year Obligation Assimilable du Trésor (OAT) to levels above 5% for the first time since 2002.
Euro: France risks and ECB expectations keep EUR/USD steady – Commerzbank
Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank highlights that political and rating risks in France, plus cautious European Central Bank (ECB) expectations, weigh on the Euro (EUR) but are largely priced in. Markets now see an ECB hike in December and more tightening next year, which may be revised lower.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ hike seen with CPI near forecast – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole expects New Zealand’s 3Q CPI to slow to 3.8%, broadly matching consensus and slightly under the RBNZ’s projection, with any upside surprise reinforcing expectations of an October rate hike.