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US President Trump to ease sanctions on Iran over nuclear progress
Al Jazeera reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump is prepared to ease sanctions on Iran and to unfreeze its assets in exchange for progress on nuclear talks.
USD: Speculative longs steady as Fed hikes – Rabobank
Rabobank’s RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets FX Strategy team notes that USD net long speculative positions were broadly unchanged, with both longs and shorts rising modestly. The Federal Reserve raised its overnight policy rate by 25bp on September 16, matching expectations.
British Pound defies US yields surge as BoE hike bets build
The Pound Sterling (GBP) registers modest gains of 0.18% on Monday even as US Treasury yields soar, with the US 10-year T-note rising over 10 basis points, underpinning the Greenback. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3252.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD plunges 5% as momentum indicators turn bearish
Silver (XAG/USD) falls around 5% on Monday, slipping to its lowest level since early August.
GBP: Shorts at highs as Pound tracks Oil-led USD rally – Rabobank
Rabobank highlights that GBP net short positions have risen over 40%, reaching their highest level since August. The Bank of England kept the Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% on September 18, in line with expectations.
Euro struggles as Fed rate-hike bets overshadow ECB tightening expectations
EUR/USD trades on the back foot on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar (USD) as the US-Iran stalemate keeps Oil prices elevated, pushing US Treasury yields higher and strengthening expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes.
AUD: Speculative shorts rise as gains versus Dollar fade – Rabobank
Rabobank points out that AUD net short positions have increased for a second week, reaching their highest level since December 2025.
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index declined to 9.8 in September from previous 11.6
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index declined to 9.8 in September from previous 11.6
USD/CAD: Overbought but seen sideways into year end – Rabobank
Rabobank’s FX Strategy team observes that CAD net shorts have risen again after a recent collapse. USD/CAD has continued to grind higher, gaining 2.77% from recent lows to 1.414, with the 14‑day RSI indicating overbought conditions.
British Pound gains against the Euro as traders assess central bank signals
EUR/GBP edges lower on Monday as the British Pound (GBP) attracts buyers after recent weakness, with hawkish remarks from Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden lending it further support. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8564, down 0.40%.
Lagarde: ECB sticks to “middle path” as inflation outlook worsens
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said on Monday the bloc's economy continued to expand broadly across countries and sectors, with manufacturing and the labour market holding up well.
Bonds: Yields challenge equity valuations – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that rising global bond yields, driven by a rebound in Oil prices and uncertainty around US-Iran talks, are making Treasuries more attractive than equities.
US Dollar: Fed hiking path and data risks – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir see an October Federal Reserve hike as increasingly likely, with Fedspeak remaining hawkish and officials “expecting more hikes.” They highlight strong PCE inflation, modest ISM Manufacturing gains, and a softer September NFP with higher unemployment.