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Indonesian Rupiah: Equity reforms and hedging against downside – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan reports Indonesia has pledged new equity-market reforms to restore investor confidence, including excluding tightly owned stocks from the Jakarta Composite Index and disclosing affiliations of 1%+ shareholders. He notes these measures target transparency and coordinated trading concerns, but implementation timing and MSCI’s assessment are key, with investors still hedging against short- to medium-term Indonesian Rupiah downside.
Gold struggles near $4,150 as global rate hike risks loom
Gold (XAU/USD) drifts lower on Tuesday even as US Treasury yields dive and the US Dollar weakens, with a light US economic docket mostly ignored by investors ahead of Federal Reserve’s (Fed) meeting next week. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,122, down over 0.43%.
Dow Jones Industrial Average rises on earnings, cheaper Crude Oil
Artificial intelligence (AI) stocks pulled the NASDAQ 100 lower on Tuesday, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose to its highest in more than five weeks on earnings and cheaper crude Oil. It climbed from the opening bell to just above 52,700.
Malaysian Ringgit: Stable range against US Dollar with hawkish BNM bias – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay and Dr. Henry Hao highlight Malaysia’s strong September trade data, with exports and imports far exceeding expectations and the trade surplus widening further.
Bank of Canada: Growth inflation trade-off in focus – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Claire Fan highlights that the Q3 Canadian Business Outlook Survey underscores a difficult growth-inflation trade-off for the Bank of Canada (BoC) ahead of its next decision.
BoE's Greene worried that "stance is not restrictive enough"
Megan Greene, a member of the Bank of England's (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), said on Tuesday that she is concerned “over [the] BoE estimate of target-consistent pay growth,” and added that more wage disinflation is needed to meet the Consumer Price Index (CPI) target.
China: Growth momentum supports CNY backdrop – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan notes China’s Q3 GDP growth firmed to 4.5% year-on-year, slightly above consensus, with September industrial production accelerating and fixed asset investment contractions narrowing.
Forex Today: UK inflation comes to the fore
The US Dollar (USD) has further extended its corrective move on Tuesday, at some point easing to three-week lows, as investors continued to assess hopes of a potential US-Iran agreement, as per still-unconfirmed news.
European Central Bank: Core inflation pressures and rate path – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Vincent Stamer analyzes Euro area inflation, highlighting that high energy costs are already feeding into goods and services prices. The bank’s Quant Model projects headline inflation near 4% in coming months and core inflation rising above 3% over the next year.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Double bottom takes shape as RSI approaches 50
AUD/USD edges higher on Tuesday, extending its gains for the third consecutive day, supported by a pullback in the US Dollar (USD) from the 18-month highs touched last week, while the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hawkish stance keeps underlying demand for the Australian Dollar (AUD) intact.
BoE’s Greene warns stalled wage disinflation raises inflation risks
Megan Greene, a member of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of England (BoE), said on Tuesday that “wage disinflation has stalled,” a hint that salaries could begin to push prices higher.
Canadian Dollar: CAD gains against US Dollar on BoC bets – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report USD/CAD trading near 1.4054, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) supported by Alberta’s strong rejection of separation and higher Oil prices.
Canadian Dollar climbs to one-month highs as BoC rate-hike bets strengthen
USD/CAD extends its losing streak on Tuesday as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) draws support from a softer US Dollar (USD) and growing expectations of a Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate hike. Meanwhile, traders assess conflicting headlines surrounding diplomatic efforts in the Middle East.