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Oil: Supply risks linger despite recovering Saudi flows - OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong observes that weekend attacks targeting Saudi Arabia have revived supply and geopolitical concerns in Oil markets.
US Dollar Index: Trades firmly near 100.35 ahead of Fed speeches
The US Dollar (USD) reflects strength at the start of the week on prospects of further Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary tightening this year. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, is up 0.15% to near 100.37.
Euro remains capped below 1.1500 amid growing political uncertainty in Germany
The Euro (EUR) consolidates losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as market concerns about the sharp defeat of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s ruling party in state elections in northeastern Germany have offset the positive impact of lower Oil prices.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $66.00 amid Middle East tracking
Silver price (XAG/USD) remains subdued after two days of gains, trading around $65.80 per troy ounce during the early European hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver eased as investors continued to track developments in the Middle East and assess their potential impact on inflation and interest rates.
CEE FX: Rating downgrade adds to regional FX pressure – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky says Moody’s downgrade of Poland to A3 adds to pressure on CEE assets at the start of a relatively quiet second half of the month.
Turkey Capacity Utilization rose from previous 73.5% to 74.2% in September
Turkey Capacity Utilization rose from previous 73.5% to 74.2% in September
Turkey Manufacturing Confidence dipped from previous 102.8 to 102 in September
Turkey Manufacturing Confidence dipped from previous 102.8 to 102 in September
Japanese Yen: Policy delay risks weakness against US Dollar - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen argues that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) faces renewed pressure as the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens and markets question its commitment to tighter policy.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Strengthens above 1.4000, bullish tone prevails above key averages
The USD/CAD pair gathers strength to around 1.4020 during the early European trading hours on Monday. Falling crude oil prices weigh on the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) against the US Dollar (USD).
Australian Dollar outperforms its peers on hawkish RBA bets
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades higher against its major currency peers, except the US Dollar (USD), on Monday. The Australian currency is marginally down to near 0.7120 against the US Dollar in the European trading session.
Euro: Holds below 1.15 against US Dollar as yields rise - Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that EUR/USD consolidated below 1.15 on Friday as European yields moved higher, with Bund yields rising amid increased French sovereign risk.
Euro treads water against British Pound weighed down by German political uncertainty
The Euro (EUR) trades practically flat, just above 0.8570 against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday, holding losses after Friday’s reversal from the 0.8600 area.
WTI Price Forecast: Drops to over one-week low, below $94.00 but bullish bias stays intact
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – turns lower for the fourth straight day following a modest gap-up open to the $96.55-$96.60 region and drops to an over one-week low during the Asian session on Monday.

