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Brazilian Real: Downside risks grow above 5.14 against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux highlights that USD/BRL has formed a higher low and is staging a short-term bounce toward its 200‑day moving average near 5.14.
Euro: Dollar drivers stay dominant on price movement – Nordea
Nordea strategists note EUR/USD has already hit its H1 2027 target of 1.12 and now expect further US Dollar (USD) strength versus the Euro (EUR).
WTI holds weekly gains near $96 amid risk premium to oil prices
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, holds onto weekly gains near $96.00 during the European trading session on Friday. The oil price has gained significantly this week, as financial markets continue to offer risk premium due to prolonged Middle East conflicts.
India FX Reserves, USD down to $726.03B in October 5 from previous $734.61B
India FX Reserves, USD down to $726.03B in October 5 from previous $734.61B
Oil: Gradual price decline with dark transit support – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists Dr. Jörg Krämer, Dr. Vincent Stamer and colleagues argue that Middle East crude exports have nearly returned to pre-war levels thanks to dark transits through the Strait of Hormuz. They expect high risk premia to fade, with Oil futures falling from about USD 104 toward USD 85 by year-end. Diesel and European natural gas prices should ease more slowly, keeping Euro area inflation elevated until mid-2027.
US Dollar: Flatter curve supports currency – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that the Dollar is benefiting from a flatter US yield curve as hot inflation data keeps short-dated rates elevated while long-dated Treasuries recover. He argues this backdrop typically favors the Dollar versus activity and emerging market currencies.
Experts agree: US Dollar might have reached a top with the AI bubble teetering
The US Dollar (USD) has depreciated sharply against most of its major peers over the last two days, hammered by a mix of lower US Treasury yields and dovish comments by Federal Reserve (Fed) officials.
Gold struggles for direction as Fed rate-hike bets keep buyers cautious
Gold (XAU/USD) holds modest gains on Friday as a softer US Dollar (USD) and lower Treasury yields lend support. However, hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations keep buyers cautious about chasing prices aggressively higher.
Indian Rupee: Policy support and yield reversal – Societe Generale
Societe Generale highlights that the Reserve Bank of India has taken proactive steps to support the Indian Rupee, deploying multiple FX-related measures and bond operations. The report notes a risk-off driven reversal in US yields that benefits the Rupee, alongside higher CPI and WPI inflation and a wider trade deficit. The tone is cautiously constructive for INR over the coming days.
Italy Global Trade Balance came in at €1.773B, below expectations (€7.5B) in August
Italy Global Trade Balance came in at €1.773B, below expectations (€7.5B) in August
Italy Trade Balance EU dipped from previous €1.251B to €-0.327B in August
Italy Trade Balance EU dipped from previous €1.251B to €-0.327B in August
New Zealand Dollar: Inflation and weak demand challenge RBNZ – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur describes a double bind for the New Zealand Dollar as rising monthly price indices signal higher CPI, while electronic card data show stagnating retail spending and likely negative real consumption. With markets pricing an 80% chance of a Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate hike in two weeks, he remains cautious and flags next week’s CPI as crucial.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends gains nearing $4,200 as US Dollar struggles
Gold (XAU/USD) heads north for the second consecutive day on Friday, trading near $4,180, with bulls aiming for the $4,230 area, the top of October’s trading range.