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Japanese Yen: Intervention faces persistent rate gap – HSBC
HSBC Asset Management reviews recent coordinated intervention by Japanese and US authorities to support the Japanese Yen, recalling the sharp carry-trade unwind during the previous episode two years ago.
WTI comes off from day’s high as investors seeks clarity on Hormuz reopening
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, gives back some of its early gains, but it still 1.6% higher at around $77.55 during the European trading session on Monday. The oil price retreats from its day’s high as fears of a prolonged global energy supply disruption have escalated.
US Dollar: Softer labour data shifts Fed outlook – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux reports that weaker US employment data and downward revisions have sharply reduced expectations for a September Fed hike, though one move remains priced for December.
Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence turns positive to 0.9 in August
Eurozone’s Sentix Investor Confidence data, a key indicator of Investor morale, turns positive to 0.9 in August, the first time in five months. The sentiment data turned negative in March when the Middle East war started. The data also improved to -3.1 in July.
Dow futures remain steady amid rising oil, diminishing Fed cut odds
Dow Jones futures are steady around 54,150 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures gain 0.16% to trade near 7,790 and Nasdaq 100 futures gain 0.39%, trading near 29,950.
Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence rose from previous -3.1 to 0.9 in August
Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence rose from previous -3.1 to 0.9 in August
Australian Dollar: RBA set to hold amid inflation risks - BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu and David Tam expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to keep rates unchanged at 4.35%, noting that markets doubt its willingness to hike despite persistent inflation and robust labor and spending data.
Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD confirms a bullish H&S targeting $67.17
Silver (XAG/USD) appreciates for the second consecutive day on Monday, trading around $64.30 after confirming above July’s peak in the $63.30 area.
British Pound rallies to over one-week high as fiscal woes and rate gap hammer Yen
The GBP/JPY cross catches aggressive bids at the start of a new week and builds on its strong recovery move from the vicinity of mid-209.00s, or the lowest level since early March touched last Monday.
Swedish Krona: Hormuz reopening could lift SEK against NOK - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister analyses NOK/SEK through oil-price sensitivity and rate expectations. He finds the Norwegian Krone reacts more strongly to oil than the Swedish Krona, while Riksbank expectations adjust more to oil shocks than Norges Bank.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Decline to accelerate below 99.40
The US Dollar (USD) edges up against its peers on Monday after a vertical decline on Friday. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades marginally higher to near 99.70.
Brent: Cautious trade with geopolitical risks – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen notes that talks on reopening Hormuz are progressing slowly, with Iran adding new conditions on the United States (US), keeping geopolitical risk elevated for Oil.
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Positions above nine-day EMA near 183.00
EUR/JPY rises after registering losses in the previous day, trading around 183.10 during the European hours on Monday. The currency cross is holding a capped tone as it sits below the 50-day Exponential moving average (EMA) while clinging to short-term support at the nine-day EMA.