Notícias do mercado
Fique por dentro das principais notícias, dados e análises que movem o forex e os mercados financeiros globais.
Euro rebounds as falling US yields outweigh hotter-than-expected PPI
EUR/USD trades on the front foot on Thursday as falling US Treasury yields weigh on the US Dollar (USD). However, the Euro’s (EUR) upside appears limited as stronger-than-expected US economic data reinforce hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.
Singapore Dollar: MAS stance supports resilience – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that Singapore’s economy grew 5.4% year-on-year in Q3, moderating from 2Q but beating consensus. MAS left the S$NEER policy band unchanged, expecting AI-related demand to support near-term growth even as the positive output gap narrows. Core inflation is seen slightly above 2% until 1H 2027, with SGD likely to stay relatively resilient.
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ above expectations ($0B): Actual ($723.5B)
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ above expectations ($0B): Actual ($723.5B)
China: Export surge and stronger PPI – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao highlights a sharp acceleration in China’s September exports and a record trade surplus with both the US and EU. Producer prices rose faster than expected, driven by Oil and AI-related costs, while credit growth picked up on government bond issuance but remained uneven. The strong surplus arrives as EU-China trade tensions over sector safeguards intensify.
US Initial Jobless Claims rose to 199K last week
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance increased to 199K for the week ending October 10.
United States producer inflation jumps 6.3% in September vs. 5.3% expected
Producer inflation in the United States (US), as measured by the change in the Producer Price Index, climbed to 6.3% in September from 5.6% in August. This print surpassed the market expectation of 5.3% by a wide margin.
United States Retail Sales (YoY) came in at 6.3%, above expectations (0%) in September
United States Retail Sales (YoY) came in at 6.3%, above expectations (0%) in September
United States Continuing Jobless Claims above expectations (0M) in October 2: Actual (1710M)
United States Continuing Jobless Claims above expectations (0M) in October 2: Actual (1710M)
Natural Gas: Volatile winter as Persian Gulf LNG stays scarce – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson highlights that European natural gas (TTF) prices have reached their highest level since December 2022 as Persian Gulf LNG flows remain down about 80% year-on-year. He expects Asia and Europe to keep competing for spot cargoes, with low European storage and forced German buying supporting prices. ING now forecasts TTF to average EUR73/MWh over the 26/27 winter before an aggressive sell-off from 2Q27.
United States Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) above expectations (0.5%) in September: Actual (0.9%)
United States Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) above expectations (0.5%) in September: Actual (0.9%)
United States Retail Sales Control Group declined to 0.1% in September from previous 1.4%
United States Retail Sales Control Group declined to 0.1% in September from previous 1.4%
United States Retail Sales (MoM) registered at 0.8% above expectations (0.3%) in September
United States Retail Sales (MoM) registered at 0.8% above expectations (0.3%) in September
United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey came in at 20.9 below forecasts (28.4) in October
United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey came in at 20.9 below forecasts (28.4) in October