US Inflation: PCE revision seen as data clean-up – BNY

BNY Mellon’s Americas Macro Strategist John Velis argues that the upcoming PCE revision is a technical adjustment that will not alter the broader US inflation narrative. He highlights that portfolio management fees, which scaled with rising assets under management, distorted recent PCE readings versus CPI. The Bureau of Economic Analysis will shift to a labor-based methodology, improving the Fed’s preferred gauge without signaling real disinflation.