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Germany: Resilient but modest recovery – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Chief Economist Dr. Jörg Krämer notes that leading indicators such as the Ifo business climate index and PMIs have surprised to the upside, showing the German economy’s resilience to high energy prices and the Iran War.
Xi pitches cooperation, friendship, and fairness amid overhanging trade war truce
China's paramount leader Xi Jinping's remarks at the White House ran to 21 lines on the wires, covering friendship, artificial intelligence (AI), counter-narcotics work and fair treatment for Chinese firms, and none of them mentioned tariffs.
United States: Bifurcated revival with advanced sectors – ING
ING’s James Knightley and Coco Zhang argue that US manufacturing is finally reviving after years of stagnation, helped by reshoring narratives, AI-driven investment and defence spending.
United States Kansas Fed Manufacturing Activity up to 20 in September from previous 17
United States Kansas Fed Manufacturing Activity up to 20 in September from previous 17
Fed's Paulson warns more hikes possible as inflation fight hardens
Philadelphia Federal Reserve (Fed) President Anna Paulson crossed the wires on Thursday, signaling that further rate hikes may be needed to lower inflation. She acknowledged that the rate hike in September helped to “move policy to a better inflation-fighting posture.”
United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change meets forecasts (53B) in September 18
United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change meets forecasts (53B) in September 18
Australian Dollar remains under pressure despite stronger-than-expected jobs data
AUD/USD trims its losses on Thursday and trades around 0.7030 at the time of writing, down 0.15% on the day.
“You can’t wait too long”: BoE’s Breeden warns on rate hikes amid energy shock
Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden said on Thursday that it is “not at all obvious” that there is a path toward lower energy prices, according to Reuters.
United States New Home Sales (MoM) came in at 0.684M, above expectations (0.62M) in August
United States New Home Sales (MoM) came in at 0.684M, above expectations (0.62M) in August
United States New Home Sales Change (MoM) climbed from previous -10.5% to 6.4% in August
United States New Home Sales Change (MoM) climbed from previous -10.5% to 6.4% in August
Canada: Revised demographics reshape growth view – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada economist Rachel Battaglia explains that Statistics Canada’s upward revision to population data has erased earlier signs of negative growth and now shows Canada’s population rising 0.5% year-over-year in Q2.
Germany: Cyclical resilience versus structural risks – ING
ING’s Carsten Brzeski highlights that Germany’s IFO index has risen for five consecutive months, pointing to a cyclical rebound and unexpected resilience in the German economy.
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ above expectations ($0B): Actual ($748.2B)
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ above expectations ($0B): Actual ($748.2B)