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South African Rand: Weakness resumes after SARB surprise – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts report USD/ZAR has broken above a multi-month descending trend line and reclaimed its 200-day moving average, suggesting renewed upside momentum. The South African Reserve Bank surprised markets by holding rates at 7.0%.
Japanese Yen: BoJ repricing may limit JPY losses against US Dollar - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that USD/JPY is consolidating just below a multi-decade high as Japan’s private sector growth strengthens and Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks below Bank of Japan (BoJ) forecasts.
Belgium Leading Indicator below expectations (-10.2) in July: Actual (-11.9)
Belgium Leading Indicator below expectations (-10.2) in July: Actual (-11.9)
Euro pauses near 12-week high against Yen despite upbeat Eurozone PMI
EUR/JPY consolidates modest losses on Friday as fresh data from Japan and the Eurozone fails to generate a strong market response. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 186.30 after reaching a 12-week high of 186.67 on Thursday.
Economists Agree: Bank of England to stay on hold amid easing inflation outlook
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to keep its interest rate unchanged at 3.75% at its July 30 monetary policy meeting, according to a Reuters poll of 70 economists. None of the respondents expects a change in interest rates at next week's meeting.
Canada Industrial Product Price (MoM) came in at -1.4% below forecasts (-0.4%) in June
Canada Industrial Product Price (MoM) came in at -1.4% below forecasts (-0.4%) in June
CEE FX: Higher rates to stabilise regional currencies – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky reports that surging Oil and gas prices triggered a sharp hawkish repricing of policy paths in Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary, taking implied tightening back to stressed March–April peaks.
ECB officials confirm: Eurozone inflation to stay above target for a longer period
The Euro (EUR) trades slightly lower to 1.1370 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. The major currency pair edges down as the US Dollar strengthens marginally after a strong upside move the previous day.
British Pound: Improved UK growth-inflation mix backs Sterling – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that GBP/USD is consolidating near 1.3300 as United Kingdom (UK) data signal a more favourable growth-inflation mix.
Mexico Jobless Rate s.a increased to 2.8% in June from previous 2.7%
Mexico Jobless Rate s.a increased to 2.8% in June from previous 2.7%
Mexico Jobless Rate above expectations (2.8%) in June: Actual (2.9%)
Mexico Jobless Rate above expectations (2.8%) in June: Actual (2.9%)
Euro: ECB hawkish but EUR still disadvantaged against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong observe that while the European Central Bank (ECB) left rates unchanged in July and is expected to deliver at least one more 25 bp hike to 2.50% in September, rising energy prices still tilt terms-of-trade in favor of the US Dollar (USD) over the Euro (EUR).
Federal Reserve: Holding rates while watching inflation risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner expects the Federal Reserve to leave the policy rate at 3.50%–3.75% at the upcoming meeting, while debating potential hikes if inflation fails to ease.