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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh: Inflation trends were not passing the test
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh is holding a press conference following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision to raise the Funds Target Range to 3.75%–4.00%, as expected.
Australian Dollar slides below 0.7100 as Warsh strikes hawkish tone
AUD/USD extends losses on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) raised interest rates and released a hawkish set of policy projections. The pair slides more than 20 pips in the immediate reaction and trades around 0.7093 at the time of writing.
Fed rate hike bolsters US Dollar Index above 100.00
The Dollar Index broke above 100.00, back above both of its long-run averages. The quarter-point that took the Fed to 3.75-4.00% was fully priced and worth nothing on its own.
Dow Jones Industrial Average slides behind a Federal Reserve hike
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades just above 51,500 on Wednesday, down 576 points and 1.11%, its worst session of the month.
Dow Jones Industrial Average huddles ahead of Fed action
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades just above 52,100 and has spent the Wednesday morning going nowhere, on the day the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to raise its rate for the first time since 2023. That is not indifference.
US Dollar: Fed repricing risk caps downside – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes the US Dollar (USD) has outperformed G10 peers on expectations the Fed will deliver around 100 bps of tightening over 12 months, but warns this may be excessive.
US Dollar: Fed pricing creates asymmetric risks – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad says the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by energy-driven risk aversion ahead of the FOMC decision.
US Dollar: Modestly bearish path under gridlock – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Jayati Bharadwaj expects a divided Congress to keep macro fundamentals as the main driver for FX, maintaining a modestly bearish view on the Dollar into year-end.
US Dollar: Fed path and credibility in focus – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke notes that the FOMC is widely expected to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points after stronger-than-expected August inflation. She argues that a surprise pause would hurt Fed credibility and the Dollar, while a hike is largely priced in.
Why is the US Dollar firm when the Federal Reserve hike is already fully priced in?
The US Dollar (USD) is trading with a firm undertone heading into the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision, supported by a relentless march higher in US Treasury yields that has pushed the 10-year yield to 5.00% and the 2-year yield to 4.66%.
US Dollar: Higher yields and oil support – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that the US Dollar has strengthened modestly as US Treasury yields climb, with the US 10-year yield reaching 5.00% and the 2-year at 4.66%.
Dow Jones futures tick higher ahead of Fed interest rate decision
Dow Jones futures gain by 0.14% to trade near 52,190 during European hours on Wednesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures rise by 0.21% to trade around 7,600, while Nasdaq 100 futures advance by 0.42% to trade near 29,080.
US Dollar: Warsh guidance keeps Greenback supported – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky note that markets fully expect the Federal Reserve to raise rates by 25bp to 4.0%, with a surprise hold seen as materially negative for the Dollar.