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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Bearish Flag formation backs more downside
The Euro (EUR) trades marginally lower near 1.1432 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday. The major currency pair edges down as the US Dollar recovers its early losses.
New Zealand Dollar: Sticky inflation supports more RBNZ hikes – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects New Zealand Q2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) to remain well above target, with quarterly and annual readings only slightly below the RBNZ’s own projections.
Australian Dollar picks up above 0.7000 as risk aversion eases
The Australian Dollar (AUD) appreciates against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday as comments from Iranian Foreign Minister Esmaeil Baghaei offered a glimmer of hope for de-escalation in Iran and pushed Oil prices down from one-month highs.
Iran: Mediators propose 10-day cessation of strikes to revive US-Iran interim deal
According to a senior Iranian official, mediators have proposed a 10-day cessation of strikes to find ways to revive the interim deal between the United States (US) and Iran.
Indian Rupee: RBI support as INR nears record low against US Dollar – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has intervened onshore and offshore to support the Indian Rupee (INR) as USD/INR trades close to its all‑time high.
British Pound: Sterling rally seen nearing exhaustion against Euro – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong argue recent British Pound (GBP) strength looks stretched as markets price in fiscal discipline from the new UK government under Andy Burnham.
UK PM Starmer: My work is done
United Kingdom (UK) Prime Minister (PM) Keir Starmer, the seventh PM since Britain’s exit from the European Union (EU), delivers his resignation to King Charles at Buckingham Palace.
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Flatlines around 218.50 with long-term highs at hand
GBP/JPY wavers around 218.50, with bears contained above previous highs at 218.00.
Japanese Yen: BoJ expectations skewed to upside – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Japan’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) to edge higher across headline and core measures, with core ex fresh food and energy steady at 1.8%.
Euro: Growth validation needed for value case – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that Euro (EUR) assets show emerging value as the European Central Bank (ECB) holds policy and inflation pressures ease, but stresses that Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data and earnings must confirm stable growth.
Euro holds steady vs Japanese Yen ahead of ECB, BoJ meetings
EUR/JPY trades around 185.70 on Monday at the time of writing, showing little direction after a quiet start to the week.
CEE FX: Risk-off keeps pressure on forint – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that escalating US-Iran tensions are driving risk-off sentiment, overshadowing a light Central and Eastern Europe data calendar.
Hungarian Forint: Lags as MNB cuts loom – Societe Generale
Société Générale identifies the Hungarian forint as July’s main Central and Eastern European (CEE) laggard, with EUR/HUF moving back above 363 as markets anticipate another 25bp central bank of Hungary Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) rate cut to 5.75%.