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European Central Bank: Rates on hold but tightening bias – Nordea
Nordea’s Jan von Gerich expects the European Central Bank to leave policy rates unchanged at the July meeting, describing it as a pause rather than a shift in stance. Lower-than-expected June inflation and volatile Middle East developments reduce urgency for an immediate move.
British Pound: Bearish against Euro on hawkish ECB guidance – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists see asymmetric downside risks for the British Pound (GBP) against the Euro (EUR). They argue that EUR/GBP appears notably undervalued relative to rate differentials, data surprises and equity performance.
Japanese Yen: Homeward investment shift could support recovery – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights that the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains near cyclical lows, but Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) and Japan Trusts flows already show a shift back toward JGBs.
Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) in line with forecasts (-0.1%) in June
Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) in line with forecasts (-0.1%) in June
Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) in line with expectations (2.8%) in June
Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) in line with expectations (2.8%) in June
Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) in line with expectations (2.4%) in June
Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) in line with expectations (2.4%) in June
Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) remains unchanged at 0.2% in June
Eurozone Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) remains unchanged at 0.2% in June
Brazil: Tariff fallout shapes election dynamics – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Dan Pan assesses new United States (US) Section 301 tariffs on Brazilian exports, noting a 25% levy effective 22 July that could rise to 37.5%.
Japanese Yen: Slight downside bias within tight band against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/JPY has edged higher to around 162.35, with intraday bias tilted modestly to the upside but capped between 162.10 and 162.65.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Rejection at 0.8100 keeps the US Dollar on the back foot
The US Dollar (USD) has turned lower against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Friday’s European trading session, after failing to find acceptance above the 0.8100 level, which keeps the immediate bearish structure in place. The Dollar remains weighed by the soft US inflation figures released earlier this w
British Pound retreats further from multi-year top vs JPY as Tokyo intervention risks loom
The GBP/JPY cross turns lower for the second straight day following an intraday uptick to the 219.00 neighborhood on Friday and retreats further from its highest level since January 2008, touched earlier this week.
Eurozone Current Account n.s.a dipped from previous €14.9B to €-6.2B in May
Eurozone Current Account n.s.a dipped from previous €14.9B to €-6.2B in May
Eurozone Current Account s.a came in at €25.1B, above forecasts (€18.1B) in May
Eurozone Current Account s.a came in at €25.1B, above forecasts (€18.1B) in May