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US President Donald Trump vows to punish Iran for Houthi attacks in Red Sea
US President Donald Trump said that the US would hold Iran responsible for the Houthis’ actions and warned that Iran and its Houthi allies would both soon receive a “major military punishment,” Reuters reported on Thursday.
US military launches 13th consecutive night of strikes on Iranian military targets
The US Central Command (CENTCOM) said it is attacking Iran for the 13th consecutive night, the Guardian reported on Friday. The US military stated that this action aims to hold Iran accountable and diminish threats from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to commercial shipping.
Asia FX: Oil shock seen manageable – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that Oil near $95 is a shock for Asian energy importers but not a trigger for a broad balance-of-payments crisis.
Crude Oil stops trading the headlines and starts trading the war
Crude Oil is staging the kind of one-day advance that usually arrives strapped to a flash headline, and the wires have duly supplied several, but the tape refuses to behave like a reaction.
WTI rallies more than 5% as Middle East supply risks deepen
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude Oil rallies more than 5% on Thursday as hostilities between the US and Iran deepen supply risks. At the time of writing, WTI trades around $90.50 per barrel, its highest level since June 11.
Natural Gas: High prices sustain European power – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Florence Schmit notes TTF natural gas has risen above €60/MWh as Middle Eastern supply disruptions intensify.
Federal Reserve: Hike pricing questioned – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Gennadiy Goldberg and Molly Brooks note that market pricing for Fed hikes has risen alongside higher Oil prices and US-Iran tensions, but they judge a July move as unlikely.
Oil: Geopolitical shock tightens conditions – BNY
BNY's Geoff Yu highlights that Brent has surged into the high $90s as Houthi attacks and U.S.-Iran escalation raise disruption risks around the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Bond markets are treating this as an inflation shock, with higher yields and tighter financial conditions.
Gold falls as Iran war lifts Oil prices, Fed rate hike bets
Gold (XAU/USD) loses ground on Thursday, snapping a four-day winning streak as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds, while the widening war in the Middle East drives Oil prices higher. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,050 after hitting a two-week high of $4,165 on Wednesday.
European Central Bank: Oil-driven risks to policy path – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that Oil and Natural Gas prices have surged since the June European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, reversing optimism that followed the US–Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
European Central Bank: September hike risk builds – ING
ING’s Michiel Tukker expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep the deposit rate at 2.25% at the upcoming meeting, with a September hike seen as likely as Oil prices rise and markets already price in around 23bp.
Gold: Rally capped by rate risks – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Bart Melek notes that Gold has rebounded on dip buying and short covering after key technical support held, with prices near $4,150/oz.
WTI extends rally towards $90 as Middle East energy supply risks intensify
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, extends its winning streak for the fifth trading day on Thursday, is up over 3% at around $88.60 during the European trading session.