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Forex Today: US Dollar firms ahead of UK jobs and a midweek Fed decision
The US Dollar Index (DXY) held firm at the start of the week, staying above the 99.00 mark and trading near 99.40, still short of the 100.00 threshold.
US Dollar Index: Fed pricing supports gains – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the US Dollar (USD) is firm at the start of FOMC week as swaps now price an 85% chance of tightening on Wednesday.
US Dollar: Hawkish Fed may offer only limited gains - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to deliver a 25 bps hike to 3.75%-4.00%, its first move since July 2023, justified by above-target inflation and a solid labor market.
The Dollar Index climbs on Fed hike bets and stalls at its usual ceiling
The Dollar Index trades near 99.50, up 0.4% on the day, and it made the whole of that gain while America was asleep. A 5% Treasury yield sounds like the best thing that could happen to the Dollar, and New York has spent the morning selling it.
Dow Jones Industrial Average loses another round to rising bond yields
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down around 200 points and trades just under 52,400, and the reason is less exciting than the headlines. Those are about artificial intelligence (AI) and a sell-off in chip stocks, and that story belongs to the Nasdaq Composite, down about 1%.
Federal Reserve: Forward guidance impact – Commerzbank
Pfister and Liebke analyse 30 years of FOMC meetings to separate interest rate surprises from forward guidance shocks and their effect on the US Dollar and G10 currencies.
US Dollar: Fed hike expectations and limited gains – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the US Dollar (USD) has strengthened only modestly even as markets price in a Fed rate hike at this week’s FOMC meeting.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Aussie bears aim for a key support area around 0.7110
The Australian Dollar (AUD) resumed its downtrend against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, weighed by the risk-off market mood, as Oil prices consolidate above $100, and rising bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will hike interest rates on Wednesday.
US Dollar: Inflation-driven rate risks and premium – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that stronger-than-expected core US inflation has pushed market pricing toward a near-certain Federal Reserve rate hike this week and higher odds of another move by year-end.
Dow Jones futures dip as Fed hike bets, AI safety concerns weigh on markets
Dow Jones futures decline by 0.17% to trade near 52,500 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures fall by 0.64% to trade around 7,610, while Nasdaq 100 futures experienced a sharper drop of 1.46% to trade near 28,960.
US Dollar Index: Fed guidance key for next leg – OCBC
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong notes that firmer United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and a near-90% chance of a September Fed hike have not translated into lasting Dollar strength, with US Dollar Index (DXY) stuck around 99.1.
United States Dollar Index rises to near 99.50 as Fed rate hike bets increase
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is gaining ground for the third consecutive day and trading around 99.30 during Asian hours on Monday.
Forecasting the upcoming week: Fed, BoE and BoJ headline a central bank triple-header
The US Dollar Index (DXY) closes the week near the 99.00 zone, little changed on the day and holding the ground it clawed back after a brief wobble on Thursday's US inflation release.