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Japanese Yen: Policy risks support higher yields – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the Japanese Yen (JPY) has weakened again, pushing USD/JPY back above 162.00 and coinciding with further selling at the long end of the JGB curve.
Fed Holds in June, Dot Plot Signals Just One Cut for 2025
The Fed held rates steady as expected. The updated dot plot median signals only one 25 bp cut in 2025, down from three projected in March.
EUR/USD Slides to 1.02 as Parity Risk Returns to Headlines
Persistent eurozone data weakness dragged EUR/USD to 1.0210, bringing parity risk back into market discussions.
USD/JPY Retests 155 as Japan Raises Intervention Alert to High
USD/JPY rose back to 155 and Japanese officials issued their strongest-worded warning yet, heightening market vigilance over official intervention.
UK CPI Beats, GBP/USD Rises to 1.29 as BoE Cut Bets Are Pushed Back
UK May CPI at 3.4% YoY topped estimates, pushing the expected first BoE rate cut back to November. GBP/USD rose to 1.2920.
RBA's Hawkish Hold Sends AUD/USD Through 0.67
The RBA held at 4.35% with a hawkish tone, sending AUD/USD through 0.6700 to a three-month high.
Strong NFP Lifts DXY to 106.5, Broad Pressure on Non-Dollar Currencies
US May payrolls added 275,000, far beating estimates. DXY rose to 106.5 with the euro, yen and pound all weakening.
Crude Rally Lifts CAD, USD/CAD Drops to 1.34
OPEC+ cut extension and a crude oil rebound pushed the Canadian dollar higher. USD/CAD dropped to 1.3420, a near four-month low.
Geopolitical Tensions Push CHF to Five-Year High; SNB Eyes Intervention
Global geopolitical tensions drove safe-haven flows into CHF. USD/CHF fell to 0.8980, with the SNB signaling close monitoring of the exchange rate.
RBNZ Signals Rate Cuts, NZD/USD Falls Over 1.3% in a Day
The RBNZ statement signaled rate cuts, lifting the probability of an August cut to 80%. NZD/USD fell to 0.5985, the lowest since 2024.
EUR/CHF Falls to 0.960 as SNB Intervention Debate Intensifies
Eurozone pessimism pushed EUR/CHF to 0.960, approaching the SNB's historical intervention trigger zone, keeping markets on high alert for official action.
USD/CNY Approaches 7.30; PBOC Fixing Consistently Signals Stability
CNY faced headwinds from broad dollar strength, with USD/CNY near 7.30. The PBOC used consecutive stronger-than-expected fixings to signal exchange rate stability.
ECB Becomes First G10 to Cut Rates, Marking the Start of an Easing Cycle
The ECB cut all three key rates by 25 bps in June, becoming the first G10 central bank to start an easing cycle.