ข่าวตลาด
ติดตามข่าวสาร ข้อมูล และบทวิเคราะห์สำคัญที่ขับเคลื่อนตลาดฟอเร็กซ์และตลาดการเงินทั่วโลก
Singapore Dollar: Range trading persists against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD remains supported within the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s policy band, with SGD NEER likely between 1.50% and 1.80% above midpoint, implying a 1.279–1.283 range. Short-term price action shows limited upward momentum, with resistance near 1.2835 and revised strong support at 1.2775.
Taiwan Dollar: Trade strength but losses capped against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts note Taiwan’s September trade surplus hit a record USD23.6bn, with exports surging 60.9% year-on-year on strong AI-related demand. The Central Bank of the Republic of China may lean more hawkish if inflation’s uptrend persists.
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions: £-97.6K vs previous £-91.1K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions: £-97.6K vs previous £-91.1K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions increased to ¥62.3K from previous ¥55.4K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions increased to ¥62.3K from previous ¥55.4K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 109.5K to 99.1K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 109.5K to 99.1K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions dipped from previous $-142.5K to $-154.1K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions dipped from previous $-142.5K to $-154.1K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions dipped from previous €-63.3K to €-99.3K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions dipped from previous €-63.3K to €-99.3K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $-98.6K vs previous $-63.2K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $-98.6K vs previous $-63.2K
China: Robust trade and rising prices – DBS
DBS Group Research expects China’s exports to grow 25.7% year-on-year in September, supported by strong electronics demand and improving manufacturing PMIs.
Singapore Dollar: MAS tightening but gains constrained – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that Singapore Dollar (SGD) has held relatively steady despite a firmer US Dollar (USD) and higher Oil prices, with MAS tightening expectations underpinning the S$NEER. USD/SGD trades near recent highs with intact bullish momentum.
Chinese Yuan: PBoC stance and valuation debate guide currency path – MUFG
Halpenny highlights a new PBoC document defending China’s FX policy and rejecting claims that CNY drives its trade surplus, instead pointing to manufacturing competitiveness. He notes BIS REER data showing a 20% fall from the 2022 peak and IMF estimates of 12–20% undervaluation, suggesting CNY is undervalued but only partly explains China’s export strength.
Asia FX: Trade negotiations and resilient macro backdrop – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan highlights a mixed global backdrop for Asian currencies, with US Treasuries rallying and the US Dollar (USD) somewhat weaker, while tech stocks decline. He notes resilient Asia macro data, including strong Taiwan exports and South Korea’s current account.
Singapore: Policy slope tightening view – DBS
DBS Group Research expects the Monetary Authority of Singapore to slightly increase the SGD NEER policy band slope at the October review, while keeping the width and centre unchanged. The team, led by Taimur Baig, anticipates calibrated tightening driven by import cost pressures and resilient growth, alongside strong Q3 2026 GDP supported by AI-led trade and financial sector strength.