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14 Oct 2026 · 17:22 GMT+3

European Central Bank: October skip and limited hikes – BNY

Geoff Yu at BNY Mellon expects the ECB to skip an October rate hike and possibly be done for the year, citing clear guidance on second‑round effects, emerging sovereign risks and French budget uncertainty. He argues that any balance‑sheet response, such as ending quantitative tightening or using the Transmission Protection Instrument, would effectively mark the end of rate‑based tightening as policy tools must not work at cross‑purposes.

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14 Oct 2026 · 17:01 GMT+3

China: External trade supports growth – UOB

UOB’s Ho Woei Chen highlights that strong external demand, particularly in technology and AI-related products, is underpinning China’s growth in 2026. Export and import growth have remained robust, widening the trade surplus.

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14 Oct 2026 · 16:47 GMT+3

Hungary: Euro adoption plans hinge on fiscal path – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Saabir Salad analyzes Hungary’s fiscal outlook and its implications for Euro adoption and the Forint. The Tisza government’s 2027 budget and new medium-term fiscal plan, due this month, are seen as key tests of credibility. The bank now forecasts Hungary’s deficit at 7.5% of GDP in 2026, narrowing to about 5% in 2027 and below 3% by 2029–2030.

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14 Oct 2026 · 16:42 GMT+3

Japanese Yen approaches September lows as US Dollar surges on inflation shock

USD/JPY extends its advance on Wednesday, gaining 0.36% to trade around 158.90 at the time of writing.

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14 Oct 2026 · 16:32 GMT+3

United Kingdom: Price pressures seen rising – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank economists Sanjay Raja and Maui Brennan expect UK headline CPI to rise to 3.49% year-on-year in September, with core CPI at 2.74% and Services CPI at 3.71%. They project 2027 CPI to average 3.7% versus 3.2% in 2026, and see headline RPI jumping to 3.93% year-on-year near term and 5.2% longer term.

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14 Oct 2026 · 16:06 GMT+3