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Federal Reserve: Warsh’s hawkish shift reshapes rate outlook – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Elwin de Groot discusses Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech and its impact on US rates. He notes that Warsh signalled dissatisfaction with recent inflation and openness to further hikes, lifting near-term rate expectations while lowering longer-term premia.
Germany flash HICP growth remains slower than expected at 2.9% in August
Preliminary Germany Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for August arrives at 2.9% YoY, lower than estimates of 3.1% but higher than the previous reading of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, inflation grew by 0.2%, slower than 0.3% estimates and the prior release of 0.9%.
South Africa Trade Balance (in Rands): 20.14B (July) vs 17.75B
South Africa Trade Balance (in Rands): 20.14B (July) vs 17.75B
Germany Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) came in at 2.9%, below expectations (3.1%) in August
Germany Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) came in at 2.9%, below expectations (3.1%) in August
Germany Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) below forecasts (0.3%) in August: Actual (0.2%)
Germany Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) below forecasts (0.3%) in August: Actual (0.2%)
Germany Consumer Price Index (YoY) in line with forecasts (2.9%) in August
Germany Consumer Price Index (YoY) in line with forecasts (2.9%) in August
Germany Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.2%, below expectations (0.3%) in August
Germany Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.2%, below expectations (0.3%) in August
Euro: ECB tightening expectations support pair – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Eurozone August headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) to accelerate to 3.3% year-on-year on higher energy, with core inflation steady at 2.5%.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Faces selling pressure above 160.00
The US Dollar (USD) is down 0.3% to near 159.65 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European trading session on Monday. The USD/JPY pair declines as the Japanese currency outperforms its peers on hopes of support from the United States (US)-Japan joint intervention.
Euro languishes around 1.1600 amid Fed hiking hopes, fresh tensions in Iran
The Euro (EUR) posts marginal gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, but it remains close to Friday’s lows at 1.1578, as bulls fail to find significant acceptance above 1.1600.
Brazil Primary Budget Surplus increased to 1.4B in July from previous -55.3B
Brazil Primary Budget Surplus increased to 1.4B in July from previous -55.3B
Brazil Nominal Budget Balance below forecasts (-84B) in July: Actual (-97.6B)
Brazil Nominal Budget Balance below forecasts (-84B) in July: Actual (-97.6B)
Canadian Dollar: BoC dovish tone and tariff risks – TD Securities
TD Securities’ macro team, including Andrew Kelvin and Jayati Bharadwaj, expects the Bank of Canada (BoC) to adopt a dovish tone and provide limited guidance as trade tensions with the US rise.