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Forex Today: Enter the US labour market
The US Dollar (USD) has managed to leave behind the negative start to the week and regained balance on Tuesday. The recovery has come on the back of a generalised recovery in US Treasury yields and ongoing tensions in the geopolitical landscape.
Dow Jones Industrial Average finds no bid under confirmed strikes
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades near 52,750, roughly 450 points and 0.85% lower, at fresh session lows made after Central Command confirmed that American forces had begun striking Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) targets inside Iran.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent backs Yen support, urges BoJ clarity
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Tuesday that he emphasized the importance of sound formulation and communication of monetary policy to anchor inflation expectations in a meeting with Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent backs Japan's steps, presses G20 on Iran
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Tuesday that Japan is taking the right steps for its economy, and that G20 finance ministers want more growth.
Euro struggles as softer-than-expected US econoomic data offer little relief
EUR/USD struggles to attract buyers on Tuesday despite below-forecast US economic data, as the US Dollar (USD) shows little weakness following the release. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1601 after touching an intraday low of 1.1587, but remains down roughly 0.14% on the day.
US Dollar: Fed risks and election scenarios – TD Securities
TD Securities’ macro team, led by Jayati Bharadwaj, Howard Du and Linda Cheng, maintains a bearish view on the Dollar despite a hawkish market reaction to Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech.
Fed’s Barr keeps rate hike on the table as inflation persists
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr said inflation remains too high and warned that a rate hike could become necessary if price pressures fail to moderate soon.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Pair extends recovery above key moving averages
USD/CHF ticks higher on Tuesday as the US Dollar (USD) recoups most of the previous day’s losses. Hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations and rising US Treasury yields keep the Greenback underpinned near its recent highs.
US Dollar: Warsh boost fades as Fed pricing holds – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the Dollar has surrendered around half of its post-Jackson Hole gains, even as front-end US rates remain firmly supported. He argues that concerns over long-end yields and potential Treasury intervention are feeding a debasement narrative.
US Dollar: September hike odds stay elevated – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar has recovered most of its recent pullback as Fed funds futures price a 67% chance of a 25 bps rate hike on September 16 and 60 bps of tightening over twelve months.
US Dollar: Jackson Hole keeps hike risk alive – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes the US Dollar has gained modestly after Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, with US Dollar Index (DXY) up around 0.3% since Friday’s open and 2‑year Treasury yields sharply higher.
Dow Jones futures fall as surging oil prices stoke inflation concerns
Dow Jones futures fall by 0.45% to trade near 53,000 during European hours on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.5%, to trade around 7,660, while Nasdaq 100 futures lose 0.83% to trade around 29,270.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY eyes 99.75 confluence hurdle amid Fed bets, Iran risks
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs back above the mid-99.00s during the first half of the European session.