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Indonesian Rupiah: BI expected to extend policy pause – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Bank Indonesia (BI) to keep its policy rate at 5.75% for a second straight meeting after 100 bps of tightening since May.
United States Total Net TIC Flows: $133.5B (June) vs $132.2B
United States Total Net TIC Flows: $133.5B (June) vs $132.2B
United States Net Long-Term TIC Flows registered at $172.7B above expectations ($151.4B) in June
United States Net Long-Term TIC Flows registered at $172.7B above expectations ($151.4B) in June
Japanese Yen muted on a soft US Dollar note
USD/JPY is close to flat on Monday, holding the mid-159.00s region after a soft Japanese growth report overnight failed to shift it in either direction. The pair has been drifting between support at 158.60 and resistance just above 159.50 for five straight days. This is a standoff, not a trend.
Singapore Dollar: Mild upside bias against US Dollar remains intact – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD remains under mild downward pressure after slipping to 1.2775 before rebounding. Intraday, the pair may retest 1.2775, but support at 1.2765 is expected to hold.
Mexican Peso softens as Middle East risks boost US Dollar
The Mexican Peso (MXN) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, with USD/MXN reclaiming the 17.00 level, even though the latest US inflation and Retail Sales data disappointed investors. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN pair trades at 17.03, breaking a four-day losing streak.
Chinese Yuan: Policymakers guide measured RMB appreciation – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that USD/CNH is trading near recent lows as Chinese policymakers allow a measured pace of Renminbi (RMB) appreciation while resisting an overly rapid move via a sizeable fixing premium.
United States: Washington hardens AI alignment strategy - Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen describes Washington’s emerging carrot-and-stick approach to artificial intelligence, extending its Pax Silica framework.
Euro returns below 1.1600 as US Dollar selling pressure eases
EUR/USD trims earlier gains on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) shows signs of stabilization after opening the week under selling pressure. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1580 after touching an intraday high of 1.1614, its highest level since June 17.
EUR/GBP trades in a tight range ahead of UK jobs data
EUR/GBP is holding a narrow band around the mid-0.8500s with little conviction in either direction. At the time of writing, the cross is close to flat on the day.
British Pound edges higher as traders await UK jobs and CPI data
The Pound Sterling (GBP) registers modest gains of 0.14% on Monday against the US Dollar (USD) as investors digest softer-than-expected US inflation data and brace for the release of crucial UK jobs and inflation data. The GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3552 after hitting a three-month high of 1.3571.
Japanese Yen struggles despite rising bond yields and BoJ hike bets
USD/JPY rebounds on Monday after coming under selling pressure earlier in the day, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) struggles to gain traction despite a weaker US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, the pair trades around 159.25, recovering from an intraday low of 158.85.
Australian Dollar climbs to two-month highs amid a soft US Dollar
AUD/USD extended its recovery on Monday, pushing to fresh 10-week highs and holding near the 0.7100 zone. At the time of writing, the pair is 0.40% up for the day, driven almost entirely by a broadly weak US Dollar (USD) rather than anything positive out of Australia.