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Thai Baht: Inflation rise and THB downside risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists note Thailand’s September CPI rose 2.8% year-on-year, below consensus but the highest since April, bringing headline inflation close to the upper end of the Bank of Thailand’s target range. They expect headline inflation to rise further on persistent supply-side pressures, yet see demand-side forces as benign. USD/THB fell to 33.62, though downside risks to the Baht remain elevated.
Argentina Industrial Output n.s.a (YoY): -3.2% (August) vs -4.9%
Argentina Industrial Output n.s.a (YoY): -3.2% (August) vs -4.9%
Forex Today: Weekly Claims and Fedspeak on top of the agenda
The US Dollar (USD) has resumed its uptrend, advancing to two-day highs while rapidly forgetting Tuesday’s hiccup. The extra gains in the Greenback have come in tandem with the equally decent advance in US Treasury yields on the belly and long end of the curve.
China: Targeted stimulus supports growth – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategist Michelle Lam analyzes recent Chinese policy moves, noting that new property and monetary easing should keep growth on track and help China meet its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) target at the lower end of the range.
WTI reverses earlier gains as recovering Middle East exports weigh
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil trades lower on Wednesday, giving up earlier gains as a stronger US Dollar (USD) and recovering Middle East exports offset support from an unexpected decline in US crude inventories.
Thailand: BoT policy risks balanced – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economist Tim Leelahaphan expects the Bank of Thailand (BoT) to keep its policy rate at 1.0% through 2026 and 2027, with the BoT prioritising economic growth over inflation. He highlights asymmetric risks around this on-hold call, noting that any hikes would likely be gradual while cuts could be faster if domestic growth slows sharply.
British Pound buckles as 30-year Gilts top 6%, US yields soar
The Pound Sterling (GBP) dives over 0.48% against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as US Treasury yields hit a 24-year high, boosting the Greenback’s appeal, while traders await the release of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) last meeting minutes.
United States 10-Year Note Auction rose from previous 4.834% to 5.3%
United States 10-Year Note Auction rose from previous 4.834% to 5.3%
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Pair consolidates below key moving averages
USD/JPY trades in a narrow range on Wednesday, with the Japanese Yen (JPY) holding a slight advantage over the US Dollar (USD) as traders assess hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) signals. Intervention risks near the 160.00 level also keep traders cautious.
US Dollar Index climbs back near its 18-month high as yields rise
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note touched 5.35% on Wednesday, its highest since April 2002, and the 30-year bond hit a 24-year high. Brent is back above $100 a barrel after Iran stepped up attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.
NY Fed September survey shows households bracing for higher prices
The New York Fed's September Survey of Consumer Expectations showed that American households expect short-term inflation to rise, while in the long term, they expect prices to cool but remain above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal.
IEA members back faster release of 100 million barrels of Oil stocks
Governments belonging to the International Energy Agency (IEA) support accelerating the release of Oil stocks announced under the collective action agreed in March, according to a statement from the organization cited by Reuters on Wednesday.
Vietnam: Strong GDP but rising inflation risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank Research highlights Vietnam’s Q3 GDP growth at 10.0% year-on-year, the strongest since the pandemic, driven by investment and industry. Achieving the government’s 10% full-year target would require an unusually strong Q4.