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Gold: Dip buying case builds into 2027 – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Ryan McKay and Bart Melek note heavy CTA (Commodity Trading Advisors) selling across Precious Metals, with Gold under pressure from surging real rates and a stronger US Dollar (USD).
United States EIA Distillate Stocks Change registered at -0.042M, below expectations (0M) in October 2
United States EIA Distillate Stocks Change registered at -0.042M, below expectations (0M) in October 2
United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change below forecasts (1.9M) in October 2: Actual (-3.186M)
United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change below forecasts (1.9M) in October 2: Actual (-3.186M)
Australian Dollar declines as RBA hike bets fade, US yields climb ahead Fed Minutes
AUD/USD falls 0.44% on Wednesday and trades around 0.6950 at the time of writing, snapping a three-day winning streak.
US Dollar: Energy risks support USD strength – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) is stronger against major currencies, with the Euro (EUR) lagging as French and Italian bonds lead a renewed global bond sell-off.
Poland NBP Base rate meets forecasts (3.75%)
Poland NBP Base rate meets forecasts (3.75%)
Canadian Dollar: Political risks weigh against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/CAD around 1.4227 with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) flat versus the US Dollar (USD) but outperforming most G10 peers. CAD retains much of Tuesday’s 0.4% gain, helped by a stronger August trade balance.
Fed Minutes: Officials saw inflation risks worsening before September hike
All participants at the Federal Reserve's (Fed) September 15–16 meeting supported the 25-basis-point rate increase, while most judged that another hike would probably be appropriate by the end of the year.
Canadian Dollar loses ground ahead of Fed Minutes
USD/CAD rebounds sharply on Wednesday, rising nearly 0.45% as the US Dollar (USD) remains firmly bid across the board, supported by surging US Treasury yields. Attention now turns to the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) September monetary policy meeting, due at 18:00 GMT.
Euro: Recovery holds as currency softens – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that the Eurozone recovery remains intact even as the Euro (EUR) weakens. Manufacturing PMIs and business surveys in Germany and across Europe point to strengthening demand, while fiscal stress and a softer European Central Bank (ECB) stance weigh on the currency.
Japanese Yen: Funding appeal eroded by BoJ hikes – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley reviews the sharp USD/JPY declines in July and September, initially driven by joint Ministry of Finance (MoF)–US Treasury intervention and later without official action. The report notes that the Bank of Japan’s gradual rate hikes are eroding the Japanese Yen’s appeal as a funding currency for carry trades, even though recent price action has reduced urgency around finding alternatives.
Hungarian Forint: HUF strength and euro adoption outlook – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes EUR/HUF rebounded from its 50-day moving average after a downside surprise in Hungarian CPI. Inflation remains below the MNB target, with the stronger Forint helping to curb price pressures and keep underlying trends subdued.
Swedish Krona: Riksbank tightening supports SEK against US Dollar - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes USD/SEK is firmer on broad US Dollar (USD) strength, while Sweden’s September Consumer Price Index (CPI) data were mixed.