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Loonie gives back part of its rally on soft Canadian inflation
Canadian inflation came in under forecast on Monday, and USD/CAD rose off its lowest level since September 23 on the release, though it's still on track for a third straight loss.
Canadian Dollar: Inflation risks and rate path – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Abbey Xu notes Canadian inflation edged up to 3.1% year-over-year in September, slightly below consensus. Core measures such as Consumer Price Index (CPI) excluding food and energy and the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) CPI-trim and CPI-median remain near 2%.
US Dollar: Recovery prospects with data-driven support – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that recent AI-related equity weakness boosted bonds and weighed on the US Dollar (USD), despite a firm US Consumer Price Index (CPI) print that kept Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening expectations alive.
Crude Oil slips from a one-month high on Trump's Russia waiver
A waiver of new Russia sanctions has WTI on track for its first losing session in eight, though the price hasn't left Friday's range. Friday's high just above $99.00 was the highest since mid-September.
Australian Dollar pushes higher on hawkish RBA signals, upbeat Chinese growth
AUD/USD extends its gains on Monday, trading around 0.6980, up 0.51% at the time of writing. The Australian Dollar (AUD) benefits from hawkish comments by a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) official and stronger-than-expected economic growth in China, Australia's largest trading partner.
Swiss Franc struggles as Fed-SNB policy divergence favours Greenback
USD/CHF trades with a mild positive bias on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) steadies following last week’s pullback, which was driven by a sharp decline in US Treasury yields. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.8263, up 0.27% on the day.
British Pound clings to 1.3300 as UK inflation test threatens recovery
The Pound Sterling (GBP) holds steady against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of the week, with this week’s UK inflation data likely to influence its near-term direction amid elevated energy prices linked to the US-Iran conflict. At the time of writing, GBP/USD holds above 1.3300, up 0.07%.
Turkish Lira: Policy pause and MSCI risk weigh – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists report expectations that Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) will hold rates at 37% on Thursday versus consensus for a 100bp cut to 36%. They cite softer growth and liquidity strains versus sticky inflation expectations as reasons for caution. They flag Governor comments on allowing Lira weakness, limited inflation pass-through, and new MSCI-related equity market risks alongside a sharp Borsa Istanbul 100 decline.
Euro: Bullish tone persists against US Dollar despite French risks - Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is underperforming as French protests weigh on local assets and widen spreads versus Germany.
Canadian Dollar: CPI weighs on outlook against US Dollar – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists see limited scope for a sustained Canadian Dollar (CAD) rally after softer-than-expected September inflation data, despite hawkish signals from the Bank of Canada (BoC). They expect the next BoC rate hike in Q1 2027 and favour fading CAD strength through CAD/MXN.
Euro remains on the back foot as France unrest dents sentiment
The Euro (EUR) trades on the back foot on Monday as political concerns in France weigh on the currency, helping the US Dollar (USD) pause last week’s correction. At the time of writing, EUR/USD trades around 1.1215, down 0.21% on the day.
Japanese Yen: Range-bound as BoJ stays cautious – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman's Ellias Haddad expects Japan’s September Consumer Price Index (CPI) to edge higher but remain below the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2026 projection, limiting pressure for rapid tightening.
United States NAHB Housing Market Index came in at 29, below expectations (32) in October
United States NAHB Housing Market Index came in at 29, below expectations (32) in October