Noticias del mercado
Mantente al día de las noticias, datos y análisis que mueven el forex y los mercados financieros globales.
Swiss Franc: Gradual gains toward 0.8200 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann describe USD/CHF price action as directionless intraday, expecting a 0.8225–0.8260 range as momentum remains muted. On a 1–3 week horizon they retain a bearish bias, looking for a move toward 0.8200 while keeping strong resistance at 0.8275. Their earlier 1–3 month view had anticipated a rebound, but not enough momentum to revisit the July peak at 0.8206.
Turkish Lira: Rate cuts raise depreciation risks - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) to cut rates again after a seemingly benign inflation print, arguing that disinflation is not genuine and regional trends are pro-inflationary.
British Pound attempts to consolidate above 1.3400 amid US Dollar’s weakness
The British Pound (GBP) keeps heading higher against a weaker US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as markets brace for Federal Reserve (Fed) policy next week, while in the UK the conditions are set for a Bank of England (BoE) rate hike in November.
Japanese Yen: BoJ faces mounting rate hike pressure – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that Japan’s September Consumer Price Index (CPI) and October flash Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data are due overnight, following recent Tokyo inflation figures that signaled stronger core price pressures.
British Pound weakens against Japanese Yen as latter outperforms
The British Pound (GBP) is down 0.5% at around 210.30 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European session on Thursday. The cross faces selling pressure as the Japanese currency outperforms even as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to leave interest rates unchanged at 1.25% next week.
Euro: Limited upside as US Dollar stays strong – ING
Chris Turner at ING highlights that EUR/USD is holding up despite higher energy prices and French budget risks, helped by unwinding of heavy US tech and Dollar positions. He sees Fed tightening expectations remaining firm and the Dollar strong in coming months. Turner says EUR/USD upside is constrained, though a tech-led Dollar correction could open a move toward 1.1340/50, with a one-month forecast at 1.13.
China FDI - Foreign Direct Investment (YTD) (YoY) increased to -4.3% in September from previous -5.3%
China FDI - Foreign Direct Investment (YTD) (YoY) increased to -4.3% in September from previous -5.3%
Australian Dollar stalls corrective slide from monthly high amid hawkish RBA and weak USD
The AUD/USD pair retreats after hitting a fresh monthly high on Thursday, snapping a four-day winning streak and stalling its recent goodish recovery from sub-0.6900 levels, or the lowest since early July.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Eyes 1.4000 support after slipping below 50-day EMA
USD/CAD continues its losing streak for the sixth successive day, trading around 1.4020 during European hours on Thursday. The pair is retaining a bearish near-term bias as it holds beneath both the 50- and nine-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Australian Dollar: Overbought rally eyeing 0.7070 cap against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note AUD/USD has repeatedly exceeded their short-term upside expectations, now trading near 0.7036 with scope for further gains, though momentum is slowing and resistance at 0.7045–0.7070 is expected to cap. Their 1–3 week view turned positive, targeting 0.7070 while lifting strong support to 0.6985, even as a prior 1–3 month view had highlighted downside risks toward 0.6923 and 0.6866.
Hong Kong SAR Unemployment rate increased to 3.9% in September from previous 3.8%
Hong Kong SAR Unemployment rate increased to 3.9% in September from previous 3.8%
Hong Kong SAR Consumer Price Index registered at 1.7%, below expectations (1.8%) in September
Hong Kong SAR Consumer Price Index registered at 1.7%, below expectations (1.8%) in September
South African Rand: Inflation relief and fiscal progress – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that softer South African inflation reduces the likelihood of further SARB hikes and supports higher real rates, which is mildly positive for the Rand.