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US Dollar: Residual strength as safe-haven returns – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists expect the US Dollar to retain some residual strength in Q3 as positioning normalizes and traditional safe-haven demand returns.
Copper: Physical demand supports prices – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey highlight supportive fundamentals for Copper, with tightening LME warehouse dynamics and strong physical demand.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: 20-day EMA continues to be key barrier
The AUD/USD pair trades 0.35% higher to near 0.6945 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The Aussie pair gains as the US Dollar (USD) underperforms its peers ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for June, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.
US Dollar: Fed pricing stays hawkish – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the rebound in Oil is lifting US inflation expectations and supporting the Dollar. Haddad highlights sticky US inflation, a resilient labor market and US economic outperformance as factors keeping Fed pricing hawkish.
Gold rises 2% as soft US CPI cools Fed rate-hike bets
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds sharply on Tuesday, erasing losses recorded on the previous day after softer-than-expected US inflation data eased expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike.
Fed: Data-driven path through summer – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Christoph Rieger argues that US CPI and Fed Chair Warsh’s testimony will shape Fed expectations over summer, with markets currently pricing roughly a 50/50 chance of a July hike and more than 25bp by September.
WTI Oil holds at monthly highs around $80.00 as Iran’s conflict escalates
Oil prices extend gains on Tuesday, with the barrel of the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) consolidating at one-month highs in the $80.00 area, trading about 18% above the lows seen in early July.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rebounds above $4,000 with US CPI in focus
Gold price (XAU/USD) is up 0.5% to near $4,020 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The precious metal gains as the US Dollar (USD) corrects ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for June, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.
Japanese Yen: Domestic savings shift aids JGBs and JPY – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes Japanese government bond yields have fallen despite higher global yields, with Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) supported by verbal intervention from policymakers.
美国 NFIB 6 月份商业乐观指数为 97.4，高于预期（95.8）
美国 NFIB 6 月份商业乐观指数为 97.4，高于预期（95.8）
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Pound holds above 1.3350 with the 200-day SMA capping gains
The British Pound (GBP) appreciates against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday to trim previous losses and return to the 1.3375 area, aiming to retest resistance at the key 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
US Dollar: Tailwinds build as oil and Fed reprice – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note the US Dollar (USD) has strengthened broadly on higher Oil prices, hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) rhetoric and softer risk sentiment.
New Zealand Dollar: Gulf re-escalation favours Kiwi outperformance – ING
ING strategist Francesco Pesole notes that the New Zealand Dollar is the best-performing G10 currency since early week, boosted by last week’s RBNZ rate hike and hawkish repricing. He says FX markets are rewarding currencies with scope for further domestic tightening, beyond commodity exposure.