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US Dollar: CPI, Fed speakers and Warsh testimony – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen highlights a US‑centric data and policy calendar, with June CPI expected to ease to 3.8% year‑on‑year and core inflation to 2.8%.
Fed: Inflation risks and policy hold – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir highlight that the June FOMC minutes were hawkish, with most participants ready to hike if supply-driven inflation persists.
Switzerland: Federalism and direct democracy as growth drivers – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Jörg Krämer describes Switzerland’s strong federalism and extensive use of financial referenda as key to its superior economic outcomes. Cantons and municipalities compete for taxpayers by setting their own tax rates and controlling spending.
Why the Swiss Franc isn’t likely to move far from 0.9200 against the Euro
The Swiss Franc (CHF) trades in a tight range against the Euro (EUR) as the Swiss National Bank (SNB) actively works to neutralize safe-haven capital inflows stemming from increased geopolitical woes.
Iran warns US against Hormuz transit
Iran’s top joint military command issued a series of warnings on Monday over the Strait of Hormuz, saying any unauthorized United States (US) transit would be confronted and cautioning neighboring countries against supporting Washington.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains range-bound with a bearish bias
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts sellers on Monday after renewed fighting between the United States (US) and Iran over the weekend revived energy-driven inflation concerns and reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike later this year.
Japanese Yen: GPIF narrative keeps FX volatility elevated – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Japan remains a key source of two‑way FX volatility as markets digest conflicting signals on Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) allocations.
US Dollar: Geopolitics and inflation risks support Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar (USD) has gained modestly as renewed US–Iran tensions lift Brent Oil back to USD80, with markets rebuilding a geopolitical risk premium.
Russia Foreign Trade up to $14.154B in May from previous $11.431B
Russia Foreign Trade up to $14.154B in May from previous $11.431B
Swiss Franc: SNB intervention and cautious policy stance – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley describes how the Swiss National Bank has actively countered safe haven inflows into the Swiss Franc since the Iran war, selling CHF and signalling increased willingness to intervene.
Oil: Strait of Hormuz risks reshape macro mix – BNY
BNY's Geoff Yu notes that renewed U.S.-Iran tensions have lifted Brent and WTI, with markets reassessing energy supply risks and broader risk sentiment.
Germany Current Account n.s.a. declined to €10.4B in May from previous €13.8B
Germany Current Account n.s.a. declined to €10.4B in May from previous €13.8B
Euro climbs above 1.1400 as US Dollar loses ground
EUR/USD trades with a mild positive bias on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) gives back its earlier gains. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1424 after recovering from an intraday low of 1.1384.