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Federal Reserve: Scenarios into FOMC – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Eugene Leow notes that investors remain cautious on upcoming FOMC decisions, with markets pricing a 34% chance of a July hike and nearly full odds for September.
Euro nears three-week high against British Pound on UK fiscal concerns, BoE outlook
EUR/GBP holds firm on Tuesday, extending its recovery from the more than one-year low touched earlier this month as diverging monetary policy expectations between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE), along with UK fiscal concerns, weigh on the British Pound (GBP).
New Zealand Dollar struggles as firm US Dollar keeps NZD/USD pinned
NZD/USD trades around 0.5770 on Tuesday at the time of writing, slightly lower on the day. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) remains pressured by the firm US Dollar (USD), which continues to benefit from safe-haven demand amid persistent geopolitical tensions.
United States Wholesale Inventories above forecasts (0.2%) in June: Actual (0.3%)
United States Wholesale Inventories above forecasts (0.2%) in June: Actual (0.3%)
United States Goods Trade Balance below forecasts ($-98B) in June: Actual ($-101.5B)
United States Goods Trade Balance below forecasts ($-98B) in June: Actual ($-101.5B)
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average drops to 15K
Private-sector hiring in the US has further cooled in mid-July. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 15K jobs per week in the four weeks ending July 11.
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 15K (July 4) vs previous 16.5K
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 15K (July 4) vs previous 16.5K
Analysts warn: The market might be ahead of itself with the recent Oil sell-off
Crude Oil prices hold at one-week lows on Tuesday, after having depreciated more than 12% from last week's highs.
Swiss Franc: Tariffs and steady SNB stance pressure currency – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that reports of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) planning to keep rates unchanged until early 2028, if accurate, clash with still-ambitious market expectations for hikes by 2027.
Brazil Mid-month Inflation came in at 0.06%, below expectations (0.19%) in July
Brazil Mid-month Inflation came in at 0.06%, below expectations (0.19%) in July
British Pound drops against US Dollar, Fed-BoE policy in focus
The British Pound (GBP) extends its decline against the US Dollar (USD) to near 1.3277 during the European trading session on Tuesday, the lowest level seen in over three weeks.
Brazil Current Account above expectations ($-2.4B) in June: Actual ($-2.33B)
Brazil Current Account above expectations ($-2.4B) in June: Actual ($-2.33B)
Australian Dollar: Inflation risks keep hike debate alive – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) preferred core Consumer Price Index (CPI) to rise 0.9% q/q in Q2, matching consensus and up from 0.8% in Q1. This would lift annual core inflation to 3.7%, just below the RBA’s 3.8% projection.