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Oil: Disruptions lift prices and speculative longs – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent Oil has broken above US$90 as escalating conflict in the Persian Gulf and potential chokepoint closures disrupt vessel flows.
British Pound: Political stability supports Sterling for now – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that the Pound initially strengthened as markets welcomed Andy Burnham’s rapid move into 10 Downing Street and hopes for reduced political turmoil.
Euro: Upside bias holds above key support against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang sees EUR/USD consolidating with a slight downside bias intraday, expecting moves within 1.1405–1.1450. Over 1–3 weeks, the Euro is still viewed with an upside bias as long as 1.1405 holds, though momentum toward 1.1520 remains uncertain.
British Pound steadily climbs to 1.3465 on softer USD as UK awaits new PM
The GBP/USD pair rebounds around 30 pips from the Asian session low on Monday, snapping a two-day losing streak amid a modest US Dollar (USD) downtick.
Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) fell from previous 2.2% to 1.8% in June
Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) fell from previous 2.2% to 1.8% in June
Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) came in at -0.3% below forecasts (-0.2%) in June
Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) came in at -0.3% below forecasts (-0.2%) in June
New Zealand Dollar edges higher above 0.5850 as softer US inflation dampens Fed rate hike bets
The NZD/USD pair holds positive ground near 0.5855 during the early European session on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) as softer US inflation data have led traders to cut bets on imminent rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Tests 1.4000 after breaking below 50-day EMA
USD/CAD extends its losses for the second successive day. trading around 1.4010 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the pair is moving downward within the descending channel, suggesting an ongoing bearish bias.
Japanese Yen underperforms as Middle East conflicts intensify
The Japanese Yen (JPY) trades lower against its major currency peers, but is marginally higher against the US Dollar (USD) at around 162.35 during the early European trading session on Monday.
Indian Rupee struggles for comeback amid continued FIIs selling
The Indian Rupee (INR) trades slightly lower against the US Dollar (USD) in late trading hours on Monday. The USD/INR pair is mildly higher to near 96.46 at the time of writing as the consistent outflow of foreign funds from the Indian stock market is hurting the Indian currency.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Edges higher to near 1.1450 but remains capped below 100-day SMA
The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1445 during the early European trading hours on Monday, bolstered by a hawkish tone from the European Central Bank (ECB).
Indonesian Rupiah declines as fuel shortages amplify concerns over fiscal strain
USD/IDR halts its four-day losing streak, trading around 18,020 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) faces headwinds from rising crude oil prices.
WTI Price Forecast: Bulls retain control near one-month high, around $83.50 on Iran risks
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – kicks off the new week on a positive note and touches a fresh high since June 12, around the $84.40-$84.45 region, during the Asian session.