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Breaking: UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is seen improving to 54.4 in July
American consumer confidence regained momentum in early July, as households grew more optimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.
Hungarian Forint: Under pressure against Euro but story intact – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky reports a broad risk-off move in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), with elevated Oil and higher core yields pushing CEE rates up. Hungarian assets have suffered heavy selling, which he links to crowded longs and profit-taking.
New Zealand Dollar weakens as US strikes on Iran fuel risk aversion
NZD/USD declines on Friday, trading around 0.5830 at the time of writing, down 0.19% on the day, as investors seek safe-haven assets following a fresh wave of US strikes against Iran.
European Central Bank: September hike risk assessed – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Anatoli Anenkov expects no policy change at next week’s European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, with the central bank reiterating its data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach. Recent Euro Area data, including Germany and France, have not significantly altered the outlook.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Sideways trading extends with 1.1480 holding bulls
The Euro (EUR) records mild losses against the US Dollar (USD) for the second consecutive day on Friday. The EUR/USD pair trades at 1,1430 after being capped at 1.1480 earlier this week, extending the sideways trend, as geopolitical tensions and higher oil prices keep Euro rallies subdued.
Gold trades below $4,000 as stronger US Dollar, hawkish Fed outlook weigh
Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm on Friday but lacks bullish momentum as rising Oil prices revive inflation concerns and reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could raise interest rates later this year.
British Pound: Sterling rally against Euro looks stretched - TD Securities
TD Securities’ Macro Research team, led by Howard Du with contributions from Jayati Bharadwaj and Linda Cheng, argues that the recent Pound strength versus the Euro has overshot fundamentals.
India FX Reserves, USD up to $675.16B in July 6 from previous $674.19B
India FX Reserves, USD up to $675.16B in July 6 from previous $674.19B
US Dollar: Steadies on risk-off flows – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that the Dollar has recovered part of this week’s losses as a tech-led equity selloff spurs a modest flight to safety.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: British Pound extends weakness in process of UK leadership change
The British Pound (GBP) extends its decline against the US Dollar (USD) for the second straight day on Friday, trading 0.4% lower to near 1.3427 during the European trading session on Friday.
Australian Dollar declines as Middle East tensions boost the US Dollar
AUD/USD trades around 0.6970 on Friday at the time of writing, down 0.36% on the day, as the Australian Dollar (AUD) comes under pressure for a second consecutive day amid renewed US Dollar (USD) strength. Despite the latest pullback, the pair is still on track for a third consecutive weekly gain.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hovers below $4,000 with the YTD low at hand
Gold (XAU/USD) shows moderate gains on Friday, but remains close to the year-to-date lows, at the $3,940 area, with upside attempts capped below the $4,000 psychological level for now.
Iran’s IRGC warns of increased aggression on Washington and countries having US bases
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) warns of "more crushing" retaliation during the European trading session against the United States (US) and countries supporting it for hosting its bases.