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EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Bearish bias persists below 0.8600
EUR/GBP trades with a positive bias on Tuesday as sellers take a breather following the recent selloff that pushed the cross to a more than one-year low. At the time of writing, EUR/GBP is trading around 0.8550 after rebounding from an intraday low of 0.8533, its lowest level since June 2025.
United States RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) came in at 45.5, above forecasts (45) in July
United States RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) came in at 45.5, above forecasts (45) in July
Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index s.a below expectations (59.1) in June: Actual (56.2)
Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index s.a below expectations (59.1) in June: Actual (56.2)
British Pound: Capped by layered resistance against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the British Pound (GBP) is slightly softer against the US Dollar (USD) after encountering resistance near 1.3400, with limited fresh data and Bank of England (BoE) news.
Fed’s Williams: “Monetary policy is in a good place”
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York President John Williams said on Tuesday that the United States (US) economy continues to show steady, trend-like growth, while the labor market remains stable.
Aluminium: Short supply supports prices despite Gulf outages – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Barbara Lambrecht says Aluminium’s recent correction has likely run its course, with prices rebounding as Chinese and LME inventories fall sharply and Gulf smelter outages persist.
Japanese Yen: Japan denies rate-pressure claims as data mixed – BNY
Geoff Yu notes Japan’s Growth Strategy Minister Minoru Kiuchi rejected reports that the government is trying to push interest rates lower or pressure the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Oil: Deficits support higher prices – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Ryan McKay argues that Crude Oil is far from oversupplied, with high-frequency global and Chinese balances still pointing to tightness.
Canadian Dollar: Consolidation with stretched USD positioning – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is effectively flat versus the US Dollar (USD) and trading close to their fair value estimate around 1.4158. They expect the recent deterioration in spreads to stabilize, easing downside pressure on the CAD.
United States Goods Trade Balance declined to $-105.89B in May from previous $-105.8B
United States Goods Trade Balance declined to $-105.89B in May from previous $-105.8B
Bank of Canada: Policy seen on hold through 2026 – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Claire Fan notes that the Q2 2026 Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey showed resilient sales and investment expectations despite earlier Oil price shocks.
Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP tone risks downside – ING
ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak argue that reduced prospects of further tightening by the European Central Bank (ECB) and Federal Reserve (Fed) should ease external pressure on the Zloty.
United States Redbook Index (YoY): 11.5% (July 3) vs 10.5%
United States Redbook Index (YoY): 11.5% (July 3) vs 10.5%