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Canadian Dollar: Trade surplus seen narrowing – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists expect Canada’s International Merchandise Trade surplus to narrow in June as weaker Oil prices weigh on energy exports. They forecast a surplus of $2.5bn versus the market’s $3.0bn and May’s $4.2bn.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains sideways around $4,050 during US NFP week
Gold price (XAU/USD) remains in a tight range at around $4,050 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The precious metal struggles to get direction, with investors awaiting the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for July, which will be released later this week.
Japanese Yen weakens despite intervention warnings as USD/JPY rebounds near 158
USD/JPY trades around 157.95 on Tuesday at the time of writing, up 0.49% on the day.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Dollar, capped at 0.8100, hints at a potential “H&S” pattern
The US Dollar (USD) shows marginal losses against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Tuesday, as Dollar bulls struggle to find acceptance above 0.8100.
US Dollar Index: Downside bias within defined range – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes that the USD Index bias has shifted to the downside after failing to break above the weekly Ichimoku cloud and instead plunging below the 55-week EMA.
Indian Rupee: RBI pause and Special swap inflows – DBS
DBS economist Radhika Rao expects the RBI MPC to keep the benchmark rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance and cautious guidance.
Japanese Yen: Managed JPY signals new order – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior Market Strategist Benjamin Picton highlights coordinated action between the US Treasury and Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MoF) to defend the Japanese Yen (JPY), framing it as a potential “financial Fort Sumter” in capital markets.
Euro advances as ECB tightening expectations, Japan fiscal concerns weigh on Yen
EUR/JPY trades around 181.70 on Tuesday, up 0.44% on the day at the time of writing, supported by renewed optimism surrounding the Euro (EUR) and persistent weakness in the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $58.86 per troy ounce, up 1.15% from the $58.19 it cost on Monday.
South African Rand: Rate hold seen hurting currency – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur writes that despite South Africa’s reasonable recent performance under pressure from the Iran conflict, the central bank’s July decision to leave its key rate unchanged was surprising.
US Dollar: NFP and inflation mix complicate Fed path – BNY
BNY strategists John Velis and David Tam highlight the July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report and upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases as key inputs for the Fed. They see consensus around 80,000 jobs, with a breakeven near 50,000 to keep unemployment steady.
New Zealand Dollar: Jobs data and RBNZ hiking path – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole expects New Zealand’s Q2 labour data to broadly match the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May projections, which implied one to two hikes in Q3. He favours a hike in September or October, with rising conviction for September.
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Holds steady near 0.5870 as bullish bias remains
The NZD/USD pair seesaws between tepid gains and minor losses through the first half of the European session on Tuesday, stalling the previous day's retracement slide from a two-month high – levels just above the 0.5900 mark.