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US Dollar: August weakness seen persisting – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee argues that the Dollar’s outlook in August is weak after a sharp stumble at the end of July.
Japanese Yen holds firm after coordinated US-Japan intervention
USD/JPY steadies on Monday after a sharp decline at the weekly open fuelled speculation that authorities may have stepped into the market again following last week’s coordinated intervention by Japan and the United States (US).
Japanese Yen: Intervention seen as containment – ING
ING’s Chris Turner highlights rare joint US-Japan FX intervention, with Washington participating via the Fed and Japan using the FIMA repo facility to raise Dollars against Treasuries.
Chile IMACEC above expectations (1.5%) in June: Actual (2.4%)
Chile IMACEC above expectations (1.5%) in June: Actual (2.4%)
Norwegian Krone: Policy rate seen on hold from Norges Bank – Nordea
Nordea economists Kjetil Olsen and Sara Midtgaard expect Norges Bank to leave the policy rate at 4.25% at next week’s meeting. They highlight that June core inflation was well below the Bank’s projection and see July data remaining subdued.
Oil: Hormuz risks keep prices in focus – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Market Strategist Benjamin Picton discusses recurring Middle East tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and their impact on Oil and Brent.
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Cross remains capped near bottom of bullish channel
The Euro (EUR) ticks higher against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday but remains capped below the bottom of an ascending channel at the 0.8575 area following Thursday and Friday's declines.
US Dollar: Labour data and hawkish risks in focus – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists outlines a United States (US) macro backdrop where the Federal Reserve (Fed) held rates but three officials dissented for a hike, keeping inflation concerns alive. They expect two further 25bp increases this year and closely watch upcoming labour and activity data.
Japanese Yen: Joint intervention supports yen outlook – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the Japanese Yen has strengthened as Japan and the US conducted joint intervention to counter recent volatility. He highlights planned use of the Federal Reserve’s FIMA Repo Facility, US euro-to-yen reallocations, and Japan’s sizeable FX reserves.
Australian Dollar comes under pressure as US Dollar regains ground
AUD/USD falls to around 0.7000 on Monday at the time of writing, down 0.30% on the day, as a rebound in the US Dollar (USD) outweighs the support provided by Chinese economic data for the Australian Dollar (AUD).
Federal Reserve: Data driven rate path – HSBC
HSBC strategists note that the Federal Reserve (Fed) left policy rates unchanged in July, with markets now assigning a two-thirds probability to a September hike.
WTI stays lower near $78.50 ahead of US-Iran peace talks 2.0
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trade 7.4% lower at around $78.50 during the European trading session on Monday. The Oil price holds onto its opening losses, driven by the announcement of a ceasefire 2.0 between the United States (US) and Iran.
Gold consolidates as conflicting US-Iran headlines and hawkish Fed bets cap gains
Gold (XAU/USD) trims gains after opening the week with a bullish gap as buyers lack conviction amid conflicting US-Iran headlines and caution ahead of key US employment data. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,036, easing from an intraday high of $4,084.