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Bank of Canada: Policy seen on hold through 2026 – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Claire Fan notes that the Q2 2026 Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey showed resilient sales and investment expectations despite earlier Oil price shocks.
Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP tone risks downside – ING
ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak argue that reduced prospects of further tightening by the European Central Bank (ECB) and Federal Reserve (Fed) should ease external pressure on the Zloty.
United States Redbook Index (YoY): 11.5% (July 3) vs 10.5%
United States Redbook Index (YoY): 11.5% (July 3) vs 10.5%
Euro holds steady as traders assess Fed and ECB interest rate paths
EUR/USD trades in a narrow range on Tuesday as traders await greater clarity on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) and European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate paths. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1436, little changed on the day.
Japanese Yen: Fiscal unease and BoJ path – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the Japanese Yen (JPY) has firmed slightly, pulling USD/JPY back from 162.18 to 161.68, as comments from Growth Strategy Minister Minoru Kiuichi attempt to calm fiscal worries.
Gold: Price dip seen limited as PBoC buying continues – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch notes Gold fell to USD 4,120 per ounce after fresh Iranian attacks lifted TTF gas and Oil prices, but Fed rate expectations remain unchanged.
United States Goods and Services Trade Balance above expectations ($-78B) in May: Actual ($-77.6B)
United States Goods and Services Trade Balance above expectations ($-78B) in May: Actual ($-77.6B)
Canada Imports climbed from previous $72.44B to $72.86B in May
Canada Imports climbed from previous $72.44B to $72.86B in May
Canada Exports up to $77.1B in May from previous $75.16B
Canada Exports up to $77.1B in May from previous $75.16B
Canada International Merchandise Trade registered at $4.24B above expectations ($2.7B) in May
Canada International Merchandise Trade registered at $4.24B above expectations ($2.7B) in May
Euro: ECB support limited by spreads – NBC
National Bank of Canada ’s (NBC) Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms note the Euro (EUR) fell toward 1.13 in June despite a more hawkish European Central Bank (ECB), underscoring that EUR/USD remains driven by relative rates.
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average drops to 20K
Private-sector hiring in the US has further cooled in late June. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 20K jobs per week in the four weeks ending June 20.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ seen starting rate hikes – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy decision as the key domestic event, with a first 25 bps hike to 2.50% expected.