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Fed's Daly says more hikes may be needed if shocks persist
San Francisco Federal Reserve (Fed) President Mary Daly said she supported September’s rate hike and that additional rate hikes may be needed, depending on external shocks.
Chinese Yuan: Trade war risk rises on EU-China tensions – Commerzbank
Volkmar Baur at Commerzbank highlights China’s new anti-dumping probe into EU nitrotoluenes as likely linked to broader trade frictions. A Franco-German non-paper urges tougher EU action on dumping, subsidies and currency manipulation ahead of Trade Commissioner Sefcovic’s China trip. Failure to deliver concrete measures to address imbalances could trigger an EU-China trade war with significant currency implications.
United States 3-Year Note Auction up to 4.932% from previous 4.474%
United States 3-Year Note Auction up to 4.932% from previous 4.474%
WTI rebounds as Hormuz risks temper relief from rising Gulf exports
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rebounds on Tuesday as shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz keep Oil prices supported despite improving Middle East exports, with US-Iran talks still deadlocked.
US Dollar Index slips from its 18-month high
Brent fell below $98 a barrel as Gulf exports picked up, and bond yields in Europe and the US fell with it. France got the most relief, as the extra yield investors want for holding its 10-year debt over Germany's narrowed to about 1.3 percentage points from more than 1.5 on Friday.
British Pound catches bid as BoE hawk warns inflation is embedded
The Pound Sterling (GBP) advances about 0.40% on Tuesday as the Greenback retreats from multi-month highs, boosted by hawkish comments from a Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member, while a widening US trade deficit weighed on the Greenback.
Canadian Dollar: Range-bound against US Dollar as political risks linger – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is trading flat against the US Dollar, with markets showing little reaction to Quebec’s provincial election.
Australian Dollar advances as markets price in Fed October hold
AUD/USD gains 0.13% on Tuesday and trades around 0.6980 at the time of writing. The Australian Dollar (AUD) benefits from a modest pullback in the US Dollar (USD), as easing US Treasury yields provide support to the pair.
New Zealand GDT Price Index rose from previous -1.1% to 1.2%
New Zealand GDT Price Index rose from previous -1.1% to 1.2%
Euro finds relief from softer US Dollar ahead of Fed minutes
EUR/USD trades on the front foot on Tuesday, drawing support from a modest pullback in the US Dollar (USD). However, concerns over France’s fiscal position keep the Euro’s (EUR) gains in check. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1255, up 0.29% on the day.
Asia FX: Tech-linked FX could outperform against US Dollar - MUFG
Michael Wan at MUFG argues that Asian currencies have been more resilient than others, supported by strong AI-related exports and a less acute Oil and diesel supply situation in the region.
Euro: Positioning-driven recovery prospects – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Macro Research team, led by Jayati Bharadwaj with contributions from Howard Du and Linda Cheng, argues that recent EUR/USD weakness has been driven by high Oil and diesel prices and French OAT concerns.
Canadian Dollar: Trade surplus supports cautious outlook – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Nathan Janzen notes Canada’s trade balance swung to a $4.2 billion surplus in August, helped by higher energy prices and a rush of exports to the United States (US) ahead of new tariffs.