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Gold: Downtrend eyes $4,000 support zone – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that Gold has extended its pullback after failing to hold above the 200-day moving average near $4,510–$4,540. Prices are drifting toward an interim projection around $4,095, with a break of this level seen opening downside toward $4,000 and the June/July troughs at $3,960–$3,940, which mark the lower boundary of a critical multi-month support range.
United States Redbook Index (YoY) above expectations (0%) in October 2: Actual (8.6%)
United States Redbook Index (YoY) above expectations (0%) in October 2: Actual (8.6%)
Indian Rupee: Bearish bias with RBI support – DBS
DBS Bank’s Radhika Rao notes that onshore financial markets are under pressure from global developments, with foreign portfolio investors pulling out around $6.3bn and USD/INR trading back above 96.00.
US Dollar: Resilient but upside seen limited – TD Securities
TD Securities notes the US economy and labor market are resilient but not overheating, leading them to push Fed rate hike calls to December 2026 and March 2027. They believe market pricing for Fed hawkishness has peaked and see it as hard to derive persistently bullish Dollar signals from Fed and data alone, even as their scorecard still ranks the USD highest.
United States Goods Trade Balance came in at $-132.07B below forecasts ($0B) in August
United States Goods Trade Balance came in at $-132.07B below forecasts ($0B) in August
Canada International Merchandise Trade came in at $4.2B, above expectations ($1.7B) in August
Canada International Merchandise Trade came in at $4.2B, above expectations ($1.7B) in August
United States Goods and Services Trade Balance below forecasts ($-102B) in August: Actual ($-105.6B)
United States Goods and Services Trade Balance below forecasts ($-102B) in August: Actual ($-105.6B)
Canada Exports above forecasts ($0B) in August: Actual ($77.91B)
Canada Exports above forecasts ($0B) in August: Actual ($77.91B)
Canada International Merchandise Trade came in at $4.19B, above expectations ($1.7B) in August
Canada International Merchandise Trade came in at $4.19B, above expectations ($1.7B) in August
Canada Imports fell from previous $75.37B to $73.71B in August
Canada Imports fell from previous $75.37B to $73.71B in August
Canada Exports increased to $77.9B in August from previous $76.14B
Canada Exports increased to $77.9B in August from previous $76.14B
Japanese Yen: Range-bound trade persists against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/JPY lacks clear directional cues in the short term, with intraday price action expected to remain confined between 157.55 and 158.45. Over the next one to three weeks, they see the pair trading in a broader 156.35–158.70 range. On a one to three month horizon, they highlight building downward momentum and potential further USD/JPY weakness.
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 23.750K
Private-sector hiring in the US has gained some pace in early September. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 23.750K jobs per week in the four weeks ending September 19.