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Brazilian Real: Bolsonaro runoff risks and fiscal hopes – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note Brazilian assets rallied after Flávio Bolsonaro’s stronger-than-expected first-round result boosted expectations for a more market-friendly policy mix.
Mexico Consumer Confidence s.a registered at 45.1 above expectations (0) in September
Mexico Consumer Confidence s.a registered at 45.1 above expectations (0) in September
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average above forecasts (0K) in September 12: Actual (23.75K)
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average above forecasts (0K) in September 12: Actual (23.75K)
EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Bears retain control as RSI turns oversold
EUR/GBP fluctuates between gains and losses on Tuesday, pausing a seven-day selloff driven by sharp weakness in the Euro (EUR) amid growing concerns over France’s fiscal position.
Mexico Consumer Confidence above forecasts (0) in September: Actual (45.2)
Mexico Consumer Confidence above forecasts (0) in September: Actual (45.2)
Romanian Leu: S&P reprieve leaves downgrade risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose says S&P’s affirmation of Romania at BBB-/A-3 with negative outlook gave the Leu short-term relief but did not remove downgrade risk. Fiscal consolidation is progressing, yet political paralysis and wide external imbalances persist.
Mexico Consumer Confidence above forecasts (0) in September: Actual (45.1)
Mexico Consumer Confidence above forecasts (0) in September: Actual (45.1)
Mexico Consumer Confidence s.a came in at 45.2, above expectations (0) in September
Mexico Consumer Confidence s.a came in at 45.2, above expectations (0) in September
Czech Koruna: Hawkish CNB keeps CZK supported against Euro - Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux flags that a surprise upside in Czech inflation to 2.5% has reinforced the Czech National Bank’s hawkish stance. With policymakers signalling a possible hold or hike, attention turns to core and services inflation data that could justify a November rate increase.
Euro: Balancing pressures as Fed path repriced – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight EUR/USD caught between French political-fiscal risks and a potentially capped US Dollar. European bond turbulence is feeding expectations of a more dovish ECB, while US yields rise on economic resilience. Markets still price over three Fed hikes despite softer labour data, but OCBC expects only a moderate USD rally into year-end.
1.1111: Why the Euro's next key support is in view as France's budget crisis deepens
EUR/USD has slipped to fresh 17-month lows near 1.1160, weighed down by escalating political and fiscal uncertainties across the Eurozone.
British Pound: Downside bias points to 1.3140 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that GBP/USD traded sideways on Monday, closing slightly lower near 1.3225, with intraday price action lacking clear momentum. They expect near-term range trading to persist.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rebounds to near $61.00 as US Dollar comes under pressure
Silver price (XAG/USD) holds its recovery move seen in the early European trade from $60.30 to near $61.00 ahead of the opening of United States (US) markets on Tuesday.