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Dow Jones futures slip as US-Iran tensions, rate hike fears weigh on sentiment
Dow Jones futures decline by 0.11% to trade around 54,000 during European hours on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures are steady around 7,770 and Nasdaq 100 futures gain 0.12%, trading near 29,770.
United States Dollar Index consolidates below 100.00 as bulls await US CPI amid Iran risks
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, struggles to capitalize on the previous day's positive move and oscillates in a range during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Fed's Hammack calls for rate hikes, says policy not restrictive enough
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack crossed the wires on Monday and was hawkish, noting that the current rate is not “meaningfully restricting the economy” and that there is a need for some number of rate hikes.
Dow Jones Industrial Average begins pricing a 2029 war premium
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,900 on Monday, lower by three tenths of a percent and pinned to the bottom of a session that has covered barely 200 points, the narrowest daily bar in weeks. Every price of the day sits inside Friday's range, and Friday's sat inside Thursday's.
US Dollar: Positioning-driven softness ahead of CPI – BNY
BNY’s Wee Khoon Chong notes that the US Dollar (USD) has been the weakest G10 currency on iFlow metrics as markets scale back expectations for a September Fed hike.
US Dollar: Higher hurdle for sustained gains – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that weaker US jobs data have not triggered a strong reaction in Dollar or rates, as markets await key Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases and another Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) before the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
US Dollar: Fed pricing shifts with softer data – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note that Friday’s mixed United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report led to a notable repricing of September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) odds, with futures-implied probability of a hike falling to 44%.
US Dollar: Softer labor data supports downside – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu and David Tam note that weaker United States (US) labor data have lowered real-rate expectations and extended the Dollar decline, creating a more supportive environment for risk assets and duration.
Experts agree: The US Dollar rally migh have come to an end
The US Dollar Index (DXY) consolidates losses, trading below 100.00 at the time of writing on Monday, holding near its lowest levels since mid-June.
US Dollar: Softer labour data shifts Fed outlook – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux reports that weaker US employment data and downward revisions have sharply reduced expectations for a September Fed hike, though one move remains priced for December.
Dow futures remain steady amid rising oil, diminishing Fed cut odds
Dow Jones futures are steady around 54,150 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures gain 0.16% to trade near 7,790 and Nasdaq 100 futures gain 0.39%, trading near 29,950.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Decline to accelerate below 99.40
The US Dollar (USD) edges up against its peers on Monday after a vertical decline on Friday. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades marginally higher to near 99.70.
Euro: Weak US jobs lift EUR against US Dollar on Fed repricing – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that the US Dollar (USD) weakened after a softer US jobs report, allowing EUR/USD to briefly reach its highest level in almost two months.