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Why the Swiss Franc isn’t likely to move far from 0.9200 against the Euro
The Swiss Franc (CHF) trades in a tight range against the Euro (EUR) as the Swiss National Bank (SNB) actively works to neutralize safe-haven capital inflows stemming from increased geopolitical woes.Â
Germany Current Account n.s.a. declined to €10.4B in May from previous €13.8B
Germany Current Account n.s.a. declined to €10.4B in May from previous €13.8B
Euro climbs above 1.1400 as US Dollar loses ground
EUR/USD trades with a mild positive bias on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) gives back its earlier gains. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1424 after recovering from an intraday low of 1.1384.
Japanese Yen: Consolidation near resistance band against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux describes USD/JPY consolidating after failing again at resistance near 162.80. The pair is seen in a narrow range, with key support at 160.40 tied to the March peak and upside projections towards 163.70/164.40 if resistance breaks.
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ tightening risks watched – UOB
UOB’s Lee Sue Ann and Jester Koh note that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the Official Cash Rate to 2.50% in July and adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks remain elevated.
Canadian Dollar: Supported against US Dollar by steady BoC outlook – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.25%, with markets not pricing cuts until at least Q4.
Kiwi nears 0.5800 as RBNZ tightening hopes offset risk aversion
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) retraced previous losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday and trades higher for the fourth consecutive day, approaching three-week highs near 0.5800.
Swiss Franc: ECB support limits gains against euro – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses EUR/CHF performance since the Iran war, noting that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has intervened to counter safe haven inflows while the European Central Bank’s (ECB) hawkish stance has supported the Euro (EUR).
Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP pressures PLN against Euro – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky says Central and Eastern European FX will be driven by secondary data and policy expectations. A dovish National Bank of Poland stance and market pricing of future rate cuts are seen weighing on the Zloty, with ING’s models pointing EUR/PLN closer to 4.340.
India’s retail CPI rises strongly by 4.38% in June, beats 4.3% estimates
India’s retail Consumer Price Index (CPI) rises at an annualized pace of 4.38% in June, stronger than 4.3% estimates and the previous reading of 3.93%.
Australian Dollar: Momentum fades into sideways band against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that AUD/USD has been range‑trading slightly higher than expected, with intraday levels seen between 0.6920 and 0.6960. The earlier tentative upside momentum has faded, and for the next 1–3 weeks the pair is expected to trade between 0.6890 and 0.6975.
Indian Rupee: Range-bound trade risks around CPI – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that India’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) release will be important for bond markets, with the 10-year IGB yield holding near its 200-day moving average around 6.71%.
British Pound: Gilt confidence and new leadership – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that United Kingdom (UK) assets, including the British Pound (GBP) and gilts, will react more to the choice of chancellor under incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham than to the leadership change itself.