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Russia Producer Price Index (YoY) increased to 8.6% in September from previous 6.5%
Russia Producer Price Index (YoY) increased to 8.6% in September from previous 6.5%
Russia Producer Price Index (MoM) up to 2.5% in September from previous 0.9%
Russia Producer Price Index (MoM) up to 2.5% in September from previous 0.9%
Australian Dollar hits three-week high as hawkish RBA gives boost
AUD/USD extends its gains on Wednesday, rising 0.42% to trade around 0.7025 at the time of writing. The pair records its fourth consecutive day of gains, reaching a fresh three-week high after rebounding from its lowest level since early July, below 0.6900, last week.
British Pound stalls below 1.3400 despite hot UK CPI and BoE hike bets
The Pound Sterling (GBP) struggles to extend its gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, even as inflation in the United Kingdom cements the case for a Bank of England (BoE) rate hike at the next meeting and the Greenback recovers amid heightened geopolitical tensions.
Colombia Trade Balance below forecasts ($0M) in August: Actual ($-2770.4M)
Colombia Trade Balance below forecasts ($0M) in August: Actual ($-2770.4M)
Poland: Fiscal change and bond positioning – BNY
Geoff Yu highlights that Polish bonds are under-owned compared with Hungarian paper, with holdings having halved as Eurozone steepening and fiscal risks weighed on performance.
United States: Pre-election tail risks – Danske Bank
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team outlines US political tail risks ahead of the 3 November midterm elections. Early voting is underway in over 40 states and prediction markets still favor Democrats retaining control of both chambers.
United States EIA Gasoline Stocks Change below expectations (0M) in October 16: Actual (-2.952M)
United States EIA Gasoline Stocks Change below expectations (0M) in October 16: Actual (-2.952M)
United Kingdom: Budget faces limited fiscal flexibility - Nomura
Nomura’s UK budget preview expects Chancellor Healey, at his first budget on 28 October, to allow fiscal headroom to fall to around £15bn. Following September public finance data, the cash deficit is no longer surprising to the upside.
Hungary: Euro-entry driven fiscal tightening – BNY
Geoff Yu at BNY Mellon argues that Hungary has become a positive fiscal outlier in CEE, front‑loading consolidation to pursue Eurozone entry by 2030.
Bank of England: Rate path shaped by energy shock – ING
ING’s James Smith expects the Bank of England (BoE) to raise interest rates in November and February as a precaution against second-round inflation effects, even as evidence of broader spillovers from higher energy prices remains limited.
United Kingdom: Tax rises and temporary relief – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank anticipates around 25–30 policy measures in the Autumn Budget, with modest consolidation and backloaded tax increases. A higher bank surcharge, online marketplace VAT collection and dividend tax hikes are expected to lift receipts by about GBP 4bn by 2031/32. Temporary cost of living and business support will front-load spending, keeping net expenditure only slightly higher than Spring projections.
Brazilian Real: Election flows and fiscal reform prospects – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes increased flows into the Brazilian Real (BRL) ahead of the presidential runoff. The bank highlights that the Real has weakened 3% from its post-election high, with buyers appearing near 5.10 and a low bar for a move below 5.00 if Bolsonaro wins. Under a baseline Bolsonaro victory scenario, the institution expects improved prospects for fiscal reforms and debt stabilization.