Market News
Stay on top of the major news, data and analysis moving forex and global financial markets.
US Dollar: Fed reaction function clouds dollar outlook – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny says the Fed’s decision to hold rates, combined with Chair Warsh’s unclear justification, steepened the Treasury curve and weakened the dollar. Rising inflation expectations and concerns over Federal Reserve (Fed) credibility now point to further depreciation risk.
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Rebounds to near 101.00 as bullish bias prevails
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is gaining ground after two days of losses and trading around 101.00 during the European hours on Thursday.
US Dollar: Real yields drive correction risk – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that US real yields and the US Dollar (USD) fell after a confusing FOMC press conference, as markets sensed the Federal Reserve (Fed) may avoid further tightening.
United States Dollar Index regains ground on further escalation in Middle East war
The US Dollar (USD) trades slightly positive in the Asian session on Thursday after a juggernaut fall the previous day. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.12% higher to near 100.92.
Forex Today: US Dollar tumbles after divided Fed hold, Oil surges on Middle East escalation
The US Dollar (USD) falls sharply during the American session on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained the federal funds target range at 3.50%–3.75% in a divided 9–3 vote.
Dow Jones Industrial Average gets its rate relief and cannot hold it
The Federal Reserve (Fed) held its target range at 3.50% to 3.75% at 18:00 GMT on a 9-3 vote, with three voting members preferring an immediate quarter-point increase.
The US Dollar Index discovers that a vote record is not a reaction function
The Federal Reserve held its target range at 3.50% to 3.75% at 18:00 GMT on a 9-3 vote, with three voting members preferring an immediate quarter-point increase. Previews had that configuration as the hawkish tail, the outcome that would bid the Dollar and punish risk assets.
US Dollar: FOMC risk guides downside scope – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the US Dollar (USD) is narrowly mixed to softer ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), with swaps pricing a modest chance of a hike but the bank seeing that risk as much lower.
Dow Jones Industrial Average pulls back hours before the Fed's answer
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades just above 51,800 on Wednesday afternoon, down roughly 900 points and 1.7% from Tuesday's close.
US Dollar: Hedging pressure builds on USD – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that USD exposure is elevated across global portfolios, with strong buying in both equities and bonds generating sizeable rebalancing signals. The bank recommends increasing FX hedges instead of selling U.S. assets, as hedge ratios remain low and Dollar allocations high.
Federal Reserve: Hawkish hold may offer US Dollar limited support – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that markets face a genuinely live Federal Reserve (Fed) decision, with futures implying about a 35% chance of a hike and a hold still the base case.
Fed's Warsh: We will deliver the 2% target
At the post-meeting press conference, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh explains why policymakers decided to keep interest rates unchanged after the July meeting and takes questions from reporters about the decision.
US Dollar: Stretched positioning caps gains against peers – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the US Dollar (USD) enters the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) with strong recent demand but stretched positioning, as cross-border buying and late-July spot demand remain supportive.