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United States Durable Goods Orders rise 0.3% in June vs. 1.6% expected
New orders for manufactured Durable Goods in the United States (US) rose by $1.1 billion, or 0.3%, to $334.8 billion in June, the US Census Bureau announced on Monday. This reading followed a 4% decline recorded in May and fell short of the market expectation for an increase of 1.6%.
CEE FX: Softer geopolitics aids high beta – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects upcoming Czech and Hungarian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data to confirm improving growth momentum, while Polish inflation should re-accelerate on higher fuel prices.
United States Durable Goods Orders ex Defense increased to 0.3% in June from previous -4.6%
United States Durable Goods Orders ex Defense increased to 0.3% in June from previous -4.6%
United States Durable Goods Orders below forecasts (1.6%) in June: Actual (0.3%)
United States Durable Goods Orders below forecasts (1.6%) in June: Actual (0.3%)
Russian Ruble: CBR credibility risks after cut – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports the Russian central bank cut its key rate to 14.0% despite raising its 2026 inflation forecast and projecting stagflationary macro conditions.
Federal Reserve: Extended pause but hike risk rising – UOB
UOB strategists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the Fed Funds Target Rate at 3.50%–3.75% at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and maintain a base case of an extended pause through 2026, with easing only in 2Q and 4Q 2027 once transitory inflation fades.
Mexico Trade Balance, $ increased to $4.09B in June from previous $2.259B
Mexico Trade Balance, $ increased to $4.09B in June from previous $2.259B
Mexico Trade Balance s/a, $ climbed from previous $0.638B to $3.843B in June
Mexico Trade Balance s/a, $ climbed from previous $0.638B to $3.843B in June
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Fiber resumes decline after testing Bearish Flag breakdown
The Euro (EUR) gives back a majority of its early gains against the US Dollar (USD) after failing to rise above the intraday high of 1.1418 on Monday.
British Pound: BoE pause risks dovish repricing – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole expects the Bank of England (BoE) to leave rates unchanged this week, with a 7–2 vote remaining the base case, although Catherine Mann could join Huw Pill and Megan Greene in supporting a rate hike.
Euro: Growth and policy doubts point lower against US Dollar – HSBC
HSBC strategists see EUR/USD at risk of moving lower as the European Central Bank (ECB) maintains a cautious, data-dependent stance and refrains from signalling further rate hikes.
Swedish Krona: Moderately firmer tone into year-end – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that benign Consumer Price Index (CPI) and CPIF inflation leave Sweden and the Riksbank better positioned than many G10 peers to delay rate hikes despite supply disruptions from the Iran war.
Japan PM Takaichi: We must exit from excessively tight fiscal policy
Japan Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi said during the European trading session on Monday that the economy needs to exit from fiscal tightness.