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Middle East War updates: US-Iran pause strikes as Trump weighs up diplomatic options
Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week.
Forecasting the upcoming week: Fed, BoE and BoJ decisions take center stage
The upcoming week will be dominated by monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve (Fed), Bank of England (BoE) and Bank of Japan (BoJ).
The Dow Jones Industrial Average buys a rumour and sleeps through a tariff regime
The index that spent this week absorbing a war premium trades near 52,000 on Friday, around 325 points to the good side, on the strength of a wire report that its own three sources undercut in the same breath.
US Dollar: Softer yields curb gains ahead of FOMC – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret say broad US Dollar (USD) gains are moderating as United States (US) yields retreat and risk appetite improves after a tech-led selloff.
US Dollar: Higher yields keep upside risks – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights that rising US and global bond yields, elevated geopolitical risks and higher energy prices are supporting the US Dollar.
US Dollar: Fed expectations keep upside in focus – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes the US Dollar (USD) is supported as higher energy prices fuel expectations of further central bank tightening, with markets pricing more hikes from the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE).
United States Dollar Index Price Forecast: Pullbacks could be bought into near 101.00
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, drifts lower during the early European session on Friday and erodes a part of the previous day's strong gains back closer to the monthly high.
Dow Jones futures bounce back as oil cools, though geopolitical risks persist
Dow Jones futures gain 0.35% to trade around 52,070 during European trading hours on Friday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.21% and 0.08%, trading near 7,460 and 28,650, respectively.
US Dollar Index: Higher yields and FOMC focus lift DXY – MUFG
Lloyd Chan at MUFG notes that US rate expectations remain volatile, with markets now pricing further Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening this year. Rising Treasury yields have pushed the US Dollar (USD) higher, lifting the US Dollar Index (DXY).
US President Donald Trump imposes new tariffs on dozens of trade partnersÂ
The United States (US) will impose new tariffs of between 10% and 12.5% on imports from most major trading partners, its biggest move yet to reconstruct US President Donald Trump’s tariff wall that was pierced by the Supreme Court, Bloomberg reported on Thursday.Â
Forex Today: US Dollar rises as strong labor data and Middle East tensions lift Oil
Here is what you need to know for Friday, July 24:
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Bulls struggle below the 50-day SMA
AUD/USD edges lower on Thursday as a stronger US Dollar (USD) outweighs support from stronger-than-expected Australian employment data. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.6966, down 0.45% on the day.
Dow Jones Industrial Average sells the war without an earnings alibi
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades around 600 points lower on Thursday, down 1.1% near 51,600 in a session whose high sits within a handful of points of the opening print.