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Hungarian Forint: Holding firm against Euro below key resistance - Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists expect Hungary's central bank, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB), to cut rates by 25 bp to 5.50% today, with dovish July minutes and softer-than-expected inflation leaving room for further easing.
Canadian Dollar: Tariff risks cloud outlook – Commerzbank
Michael Pfister at Commerzbank assesses the potential impact of higher US auto tariffs on Canada and the Canadian Dollar.
Japanese Yen: Range trade within 157.90 and 159.80 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann describe USD/JPY as locked in a range-trading phase, with a slightly firmer tone keeping the pair in a higher intraday band of 158.80–159.45.
Indian Rupee: Range holds against US Dollar as inflows offset trade drag – DBS
DBS economist Radhika Rao observes that strong FCNR (B) swap inflows and higher FX reserves have not translated into significant Rupee gains, with USD/INR staying in a tight 95.50–96.00 range.
Australian Dollar: CPI keeps RBA on hold bias – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole expects Australia’s July inflation data to show further moderation, consistent with no additional Reserve Bank of Australia hikes this year. He argues Governor Bullock is likely to stay hawkish, and even a small inflation surprise could lift AUD.
Hungarian Forint: MNB tone shift watched – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects Hungary's central bank, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB), to cut its base rate by 25bp to 5.50%, but stresses that guidance will matter more for the Forint. While headline inflation has surprised on the downside, core and services pressures and energy risks persist.
Euro holds gains against Canadian Dollar on upbeat German IFO data
EUR/CAD extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.6160 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross remains stronger as the Euro (EUR) holds gains following the release of the German IFO business sentiment index data.
British Pound extends gains to fresh monthly peak, around mid-217.00s vs weaker Yen
The GBP/JPY cross catches fresh bids on Tuesday and climbs to its highest level since July 30, around mid-217.00s during the first half of the European session.
British Pound: Upside bias toward 1.3700 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann describe GBP/USD price action as range-bound intraday between 1.3615 and 1.3660, with momentum indicators neutral.
Germany’s IFO Business Climate Index improves again, arriving at 88.8 vs. 87.2 estimates
The German IFO Institute Business Climate Index improves again. The sentiment data arrives higher at 88.8 in August from 86.7 in July, revised higher from 86.6. The data also beats estimates of 87.2.
Germany IFO – Expectations above forecasts (87.5) in August: Actual (89.1)
Germany IFO – Expectations above forecasts (87.5) in August: Actual (89.1)
Germany IFO – Current Assessment above expectations (87) in August: Actual (88.5)
Germany IFO – Current Assessment above expectations (87) in August: Actual (88.5)
Germany IFO – Business Climate above forecasts (87.2) in August: Actual (88.8)
Germany IFO – Business Climate above forecasts (87.2) in August: Actual (88.8)